Articles | Volume 12, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/se-12-1197-2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/se-12-1197-2021
Research article
 | 
28 May 2021
Research article |  | 28 May 2021

Conditional probability of distributed surface rupturing during normal-faulting earthquakes

Maria Francesca Ferrario and Franz Livio

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AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by Maria Francesca Ferrario on behalf of the Authors (15 Mar 2021)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (21 Mar 2021) by Rita De Nardis
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (14 Apr 2021)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (18 Apr 2021)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (20 Apr 2021) by Rita De Nardis
ED: Publish as is (25 Apr 2021) by Federico Rossetti (Executive editor)
AR by Maria Francesca Ferrario on behalf of the Authors (28 Apr 2021)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
Moderate to strong earthquakes commonly produce surface faulting, either along the primary fault or as distributed rupture on nearby faults. Hazard assessment for distributed normal faulting is based on empirical relations derived almost 15 years ago. In this study, we derive updated empirical regressions of the probability of distributed faulting as a function of distance from the primary fault, and we propose a conservative scenario to consider the full spectrum of potential rupture.