Articles | Volume 10, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/se-10-15-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/se-10-15-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The impact of earthquake cycle variability on neotectonic and paleoseismic slip rate estimates
Richard Styron
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Earth Analysis, 21855 Bear Creek Road, Los Gatos, CA 95033, USA
Global Earthquake Model Foundation, Via Adolfo Ferrata 1, Pavia 27100, Italy
Department of Geology,
University of Kansas, Ritchie Hall, Earth Energy & Environment Center,
1414 Naismith Drive, Room 254, Lawrence, KS 66054, USA
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Cited
32 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Distinguishing fault offset from climatically modulated channel deflections: Insights from the Pearblossom slip-rate site, Mojave section of the San Andreas fault, California, USA E. Anderson-Merritt et al. 10.1130/GES02680.1
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- Slip Distribution and Footwall Topography of the Yanggao‐Tianzhen Fault (Northern Shanxi Graben): Implications for the Along‐Strike Variations in Fault Activity and Regional Deformation Q. Luo et al. 10.1029/2020TC006593
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- Reproducibility of San Andreas Fault Slip Rate Measurements at Wallace Creek in the Carrizo Plain, CA L. Grant Ludwig et al. 10.1029/2017EA000360
- Paleoseismic Record of Three Holocene Earthquakes Rupturing the Issyk‐Ata Fault near Bishkek, North Kyrgyzstan M. Patyniak et al. 10.1785/0120170083
30 citations as recorded by crossref.
- How Does the Onset of Offset Influence Geologic Slip Rates? A. Hatem et al. 10.1785/0220240096
- Simplifying complex fault data for systems-level analysis: Earthquake geology inputs for U.S. NSHM 2023 A. Hatem et al. 10.1038/s41597-022-01609-7
- Evidence for Late Quaternary Deformation Along Crowleys Ridge, New Madrid Seismic Zone J. Thompson Jobe et al. 10.1029/2019TC005746
- Along-strike extent of earthquakes on multi-segment reverse faults; insights from the Nevis-Cardrona Fault, Aotearoa New Zealand J. Williams et al. 10.26443/seismica.v3i2.1310
- Seismic hazard of multi-segment rupturing for the Anninghe–Zemuhe–Daliangshan fault region, southeastern Tibetan Plateau: constraints from geological and geodetic slip rates J. Cheng et al. 10.1007/s11069-021-04643-7
- Mid- to Late-Quaternary Geomorphic and Paleoseismic Event History, Cheraw Fault, Southeastern Colorado D. Ostenaa et al. 10.1785/0120210285
- Accommodation of Plate Motion in an Incipient Strike‐Slip System: The Central Walker Lane I. Pierce et al. 10.1029/2019TC005612
- Low‐Rate Faulting on the Margin of the Colorado Plateau and Rio Grande Rift in North‐Central New Mexico J. Thompson Jobe & C. Chupik 10.1029/2021TC006860
- 36Cl exposure dating of glacial features to constrain the slip rate along the Mt. Vettore Fault (Central Apennines, Italy) L. Pousse-Beltran et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2022.108302
- Fault Source Models Show Slip Rates Measured across the Width of the Entire Fault Zone Best Represent the Observed Seismicity of the Pallatanga–Puna Fault, Ecuador N. Harrichhausen et al. 10.1785/0220230217
- Spatial and Temporal Analysis of Geologic Slip Rates, Cucamonga Fault, California, USA: Implications for Along‐Strike Applications and Multi‐Fault Rupture D. McPhillips & K. Scharer 10.1029/2022JB024942
- A Meta‐Analysis of Fault Slip Rates Across the Central Apennines M. Carafa et al. 10.1029/2021JB023252
- Geologic Input Databases for the 2025 Puerto Rico—U.S. Virgin Islands National Seismic Hazard Model Update: Crustal Faults Component J. Thompson Jobe et al. 10.1785/0220230222
- 10Be and OSL dating of Pleistocene fluvial terraces along the Hongshuiba River: Constraints on tectonic and climatic drivers for fluvial downcutting across the NE Tibetan Plateau margin, China H. Yang et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2019.106884
- Recovering Surface Slip Distribution Along the Sertengshan Piedmont Fault (Northern China) From Airborne LiDAR Data H. Bi et al. 10.1029/2021TC007174
- The correlation between strain rate and earthquake size – A Bayesian probability approach for indicating seismic hazard in the Himalaya and adjacent areas B. Mukhopadhyay & A. Chakrawarti 10.1016/j.jseaes.2024.106305
- Western U.S. Geologic Deformation Model for Use in the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model 2023 A. Hatem et al. 10.1785/0220220154
- Long-term uplift pattern recorded by rivers across contrasting lithology: Insights into earthquake recurrence in the epicentral area of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, Japan N. Takahashi et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2022.108492
- Evidence for Holocene Earthquakes along the Húsavík-Flatey Fault in North Iceland: Implications for the Seismic Behavior of Oceanic Transform Faults R. Matrau et al. 10.1785/0120230119
- Marine Paleoseismic Evidence for Seismic and Aseismic Slip Along the Hayward‐Rodgers Creek Fault System in Northern San Pablo Bay J. Watt et al. 10.1029/2021GC010180
- Seismic Hazard Analyses From Geologic and Geomorphic Data: Current and Future Challenges K. Morell et al. 10.1029/2018TC005365
- Probabilistic Assessment of Slip Rates and Their Variability Over Time of Offshore Buried Thrusts: A Case Study in the Northern Adriatic Sea Y. Panara et al. 10.3389/feart.2021.664288
- Distinguishing fault offset from climatically modulated channel deflections: Insights from the Pearblossom slip-rate site, Mojave section of the San Andreas fault, California, USA E. Anderson-Merritt et al. 10.1130/GES02680.1
- Marine Terraces Reveal Complex Near-Shore Upper-Plate Faulting in the Northern Hikurangi Margin, New Zealand N. Litchfield et al. 10.1785/0120190208
- Late Holocene Slip Rate of the Mojave Section of the San Andreas Fault near Palmdale, California E. Young et al. 10.1785/0120200278
- Revealing Subtle Active Tectonic Deformation: Integrating Lidar, Photogrammetry, Field Mapping, and Geophysical Surveys to Assess the Late Quaternary Activity of the Sava Fault (Southern Alps, Slovenia) P. Jamšek Rupnik et al. 10.3390/rs16091490
- Slip Distribution and Footwall Topography of the Yanggao‐Tianzhen Fault (Northern Shanxi Graben): Implications for the Along‐Strike Variations in Fault Activity and Regional Deformation Q. Luo et al. 10.1029/2020TC006593
- Holocene earthquake history and slip rate of the southern Teton fault, Wyoming, USA C. DuRoss et al. 10.1130/B35363.1
- Earth Observation for the Assessment of Earthquake Hazard, Risk and Disaster Management J. Elliott 10.1007/s10712-020-09606-4
- STEPS: Slip Time Earthquake Path Simulations Applied to the San Andreas and Toe Jam Hill Faults to Redefine Geologic Slip Rate Uncertainty A. Hatem et al. 10.1029/2021GC009848
2 citations as recorded by crossref.
Discussed (preprint)
Latest update: 26 Dec 2024
Short summary
Successive earthquakes on a single fault are not perfectly periodic in time. There is some natural random variability. This leads to variations in estimated fault slip rates over short timescales though the longer-term mean slip rate stays constant, which may cause problems when comparing slip rates at different timescales. This paper is the first to quantify these effects, demonstrating substantial variation in slip rates over a few to tens of earthquakes, but much less at longer timescales.
Successive earthquakes on a single fault are not perfectly periodic in time. There is some...