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Articles | Volume 10, issue 5
Articles | Volume 10, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/se-10-1469-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/se-10-1469-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 10, issue 5
Review article
 | Highlight paper
 | 
03 Sep 2019
Review article | Highlight paper |  | 03 Sep 2019

How can geologic decision-making under uncertainty be improved?

Cristina G. Wilson, Clare E. Bond, and Thomas F. Shipley

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Short summary
In this paper, we outline the key insights from decision-making research about how, when faced with uncertainty, humans constrain decisions through the use of heuristics (rules of thumb), making them vulnerable to systematic and suboptimal decision biases. We also review existing strategies to debias decision-making that have applicability in the geosciences, giving special attention to strategies that make use of information technology and artificial intelligence.
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Understanding the unknowns: the impact of uncertainty in the...