Articles | Volume 10, issue 5
Solid Earth, 10, 1469–1488, 2019

Special issue: Understanding the unknowns: the impact of uncertainty in the...

Solid Earth, 10, 1469–1488, 2019

Review article 03 Sep 2019

Review article | 03 Sep 2019

How can geologic decision-making under uncertainty be improved?

Cristina G. Wilson et al.


Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by Cristina Wilson on behalf of the Authors (02 Aug 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (05 Aug 2019) by Lucia Perez-Diaz
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (05 Aug 2019) by Susanne Buiter(Executive Editor)
Short summary
In this paper, we outline the key insights from decision-making research about how, when faced with uncertainty, humans constrain decisions through the use of heuristics (rules of thumb), making them vulnerable to systematic and suboptimal decision biases. We also review existing strategies to debias decision-making that have applicability in the geosciences, giving special attention to strategies that make use of information technology and artificial intelligence.