Articles | Volume 10, issue 5
Review article
 | Highlight paper
03 Sep 2019
Review article | Highlight paper |  | 03 Sep 2019

How can geologic decision-making under uncertainty be improved?

Cristina G. Wilson, Clare E. Bond, and Thomas F. Shipley


Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by Cristina Wilson on behalf of the Authors (02 Aug 2019)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (05 Aug 2019) by Lucia Perez-Diaz
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (05 Aug 2019) by Susanne Buiter (Executive editor)
AR by Cristina Wilson on behalf of the Authors (05 Aug 2019)  Manuscript 
Short summary
In this paper, we outline the key insights from decision-making research about how, when faced with uncertainty, humans constrain decisions through the use of heuristics (rules of thumb), making them vulnerable to systematic and suboptimal decision biases. We also review existing strategies to debias decision-making that have applicability in the geosciences, giving special attention to strategies that make use of information technology and artificial intelligence.