3-D crustal density model of the Sea of Marmara
- 1GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Telegrafenberg, Potsdam, Germany
- 2Institute of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
- 3Faculty of Georesources and Materials Engineering, RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany
Correspondence: Ershad Gholamrezaie (email@example.com)
The Sea of Marmara, in northwestern Turkey, is a transition zone where the dextral North Anatolian Fault zone (NAFZ) propagates westward from the Anatolian Plate to the Aegean Sea Plate. The area is of interest in the context of seismic hazard of Istanbul, a metropolitan area with about 15 million inhabitants. Geophysical observations indicate that the crust is heterogeneous beneath the Marmara basin, but a detailed characterization of the crustal heterogeneities is still missing. To assess if and how crustal heterogeneities are related to the NAFZ segmentation below the Sea of Marmara, we develop new crustal-scale 3-D density models which integrate geological and seismological data and that are additionally constrained by 3-D gravity modeling. For the latter, we use two different gravity datasets including global satellite data and local marine gravity observation. Considering the two different datasets and the general non-uniqueness in potential field modeling, we suggest three possible “end-member” solutions that are all consistent with the observed gravity field and illustrate the spectrum of possible solutions. These models indicate that the observed gravitational anomalies originate from significant density heterogeneities within the crust. Two layers of sediments, one syn-kinematic and one pre-kinematic with respect to the Sea of Marmara formation are underlain by a heterogeneous crystalline crust. A felsic upper crystalline crust (average density of 2720 kg m−3) and an intermediate to mafic lower crystalline crust (average density of 2890 kg m−3) appear to be cross-cut by two large, dome-shaped mafic high-density bodies (density of 2890 to 3150 kg m−3) of considerable thickness above a rather uniform lithospheric mantle (3300 kg m−3). The spatial correlation between two major bends of the main Marmara fault and the location of the high-density bodies suggests that the distribution of lithological heterogeneities within the crust controls the rheological behavior along the NAFZ and, consequently, maybe influences fault segmentation and thus the seismic hazard assessment in the region.
The Sea of Marmara in NW Turkey is an extensional basin associated with a right-stepping jog in the orientation of the North Anatolian Fault zone (NAFZ; Fig. 1), a westward-propagating right-lateral strike-slip fault that constitutes the plate boundary between the Anatolian and the Eurasian plates (Fig. 1a; McKenzie, 1972; Şengör et al., 2005). As one of the most active plate-bounding strike-slip faults in the world, and being located in the Istanbul metropolitan area with a population of approximately 15 million, the NAFZ has been the focus of numerous geoscientific investigations over the past decades (e.g. Barka, 1996; Ambraseys, 1970; Stein et al., 1997; Armijo et al., 1999; Şengör et al., 2005; Le Pichon et al., 2015). Several recent research programs (e.g. SEISMARMARA – Hirn and Singh, 2001: https://doi.org/10.17600/1080050; GONAF – Bohnhoff et al., 2017a: https://www.gonaf-network.org, last access: 14 May 2019; MARsite: http://marsite.eu/, last access: 14 May 2019) have been embarked on to improve the observational basis for the seismic hazard assessment in the Sea of Marmara region.
The Marmara section of the NAFZ, the main Marmara fault (MMF; Le Pichon et al., 2001, 2003), is considered to be a 150 km long seismic gap between the ruptures of two strong events in 1912 (M 7.3) and 1999 (M 7.4) and is a zone of strong earthquakes (M ∼ 7.4) with a recurrence time of approximately 250 years (Fig. 1b and c); this section experienced the last earthquake in 1509 and 1766, suggesting that the fault is mature and that the potential for a large seismic event is regarded as high (Ambraseys, 2002; Barka et al., 2002; Parsons, 2004; Janssen et al., 2009; Murru et al., 2016; Bohnhoff et al., 2013, 2016a, b, 2017b). A key question is if this 150 km long seismic gap will rupture in the future in one event or in several separate events due to segmentation of the MMF, an issue that will depend a lot on the stress evolution along the strike among other forcing factors. In this regard, three-dimensional (3-D) geological models are the fundament of geomechanical models, and the distribution of density is of key importance, as density controls body forces. Density modeling is generally done by integrating geological information, seismic observations, and gravity data. Furthermore, gravity models can also help to assess the density distribution at greater depths where borehole observations and/or seismic surveys have limitations.
Our study aims to evaluate the deep crustal configuration of the Sea of Marmara and surrounding areas. To address the question of whether there is a spatial relationship between fault activity and the distribution of certain physical properties in the crust, we develop 3-D density models that integrate available seismological observations and that are consistent with observed gravity measurements. In a previous gravity modeling effort (Kende et al., 2017), an inversion method was applied to calculate the Moho depth below the Marmara region. Building on an earlier 3-D structural model developed to evaluate the stress–strain state in this region (Hergert and Heidbach, 2010, 2011; Hergert et al., 2011), we use crustal- and regional-scale forward 3-D gravity modeling and seismic data as additional constraints. In addition, we compare and discuss our results with the previously published results of Kende et al. (2017). This comparison confirms that significant density heterogeneities are laterally present within the crust below the Sea of Marmara. In particular, we find indications for lateral density heterogeneities within the crust in the form of two local high-density bodies that may influence the kinematics of the NAFZ below the Sea of Marmara.
1.1 Geological setting
In the large-scale plate-tectonic framework of Asia Minor, the NAFZ accommodates the westward escape of the Anatolian Plate in response to the northward motion and indentation of the Arabian Plate into Eurasia and westward enlarging of the deep slab detachment beneath the Bitlis–Hellenic subduction zone (Fig. 1a: McKenzie, 1972; Şengör et al., 2005; Faccenna et al., 2006; Jolivet et al., 2013); this has resulted in numerous deformation features along the well-defined trace of the fault and, regionally, along the northern flanks of the Anatolian plateau (Barka and Hancock, 1984; Barka and Reilinger, 1997; Pucci et al., 2006; Yildirim et al., 2011, 2013).
In the westernmost sector, the NAFZ bifurcates into several strands of locally variable strikes, which has resulted in a mosaic of pull-apart basins flanked by steep mountain fronts and intervening structural highs. All of these morphotectonic features of the greater Marmara region are characterized by the active Quaternary deformation process (Yildirim and Tüysüz, 2017). To the west of the Almacık block, a transpressional push-up ridge, the NAFZ splits into three main strands (Fig. 1b; Armijo et al., 1999, 2002): the northern, middle, and southern branches. The northern branch traverses the Sea of Marmara and forms the N70∘ E striking main Marmara fault (MMF; Le Pichon et al., 2001, 2003). The approximately E–W-striking middle branch passes through the Armutlu Peninsula and continues along the southern coast of the Sea of Marmara; this branch changes strike to NE–SW in the southern part of the Kapıdag Peninsula (Yaltırak and Alpar, 2002; Kurtuluş and Canbay, 2007). The southern branch traverses the Biga Peninsula, the region to the south of the southern margin of the Sea of Marmara.
The Sea of Marmara is an E–W elongated transtensional basin with up to 1300 m water depth along its axial part; it is surrounded by onshore domains at about 600 m average elevation (Fig. 1c). The deepest part of the basin is the northern Marmara Trough (NMT; Laigle et al., 2008; Bécel et al., 2009), which hosts three main sedimentary basins along the NAFZ. These include the Çınarcık, Central, and Tekirdağ basins. These depocenters are separated from each other by the shallower central high (east) and the western high (west), respectively. In the deep parts of the basin, protracted subsidence has resulted in the accumulation of more than 5 km of Pliocene–Holocene sediments (Le Pichon et al., 2001, 2003, 2015; Armijo et al., 2002; Parke et al., 2002; Carton et al., 2007; Laigle et al., 2008; Bécel et al., 2009, 2010; Bayrakci et al., 2013).
The region of the Sea of Marmara is an integral part of the NAFZ, which began its activity in the east approximately 13 to 11 Ma ago (Şengör et al., 2005). Although different models and timing constraints for the onset of basin formation in the Sea of Marmara have been presented in the context of the evolution of the NAFZ and the Aegean region (e.g., Armijo et al., 1999; Ünay et al., 2001; Yaltırak, 2002; Şengör et al., 2005; Le Pichon et al., 2014, 2015), offset geological marker horizons, displaced structures, and paleontological data point to a transtensional origin during the propagation and sustained movement of the NAFZ with displacement and block rotations after the Zanclean transgression in the early Pliocene. Such a geodynamic scenario of transtensional dextral strike-slip faulting is compatible with space-geodetic data, the pattern of seismicity and geomorphic indicators in the landscape (Reilinger et al., 1997, 2006; Barka and Kadinsky-Cade, 1988; Bürgmann et al., 2002; Pucci et al., 2006; Akbayram et al., 2016a; Yildirim and Tüysüz, 2017).
In contrast, based on GPS velocity data and surface geological observations, there are also arguments that the kinematics of the MMF correspond to a pure right-lateral strike-slip fault, with the exception of the Çınarcık basin area, where the bend of the Princes' Islands segment causes a transtensional setting (e.g. Le Pichon et al., 2003, 2015).
Like for the earlier 3-D model (Hergert and Heidbach, 2010), our study area extends from 40.25∘ N–27.25∘ E to 41.15∘ N–30.20∘ E and is projected as a rectangular shape in WGS84, UTM zone 35∘ N, with a dimension of 250 km×100 km (Fig. 1c). It covers the Sea of Marmara and the adjacent onshore areas as well as the city of Istanbul and the Bosporus.
The principal approach used for this study is crustal-scale 3-D gravity forward modeling to assess the density configuration of different structural units. In this methodology, the gravity response of a model is calculated and compared with the observed gravity field. The model is iteratively modified to find the best fit with observations. Since the solution is not unique in gravity modeling, reducing the number of free parameters by integrating other available geophysical and/or geological data as additional constraints is required. In the spirit of this philosophy, the workflow adopted in this study consists of the following: (1) setting up an initial density model (Figs. 2 and 3) – in our case, based on the previous studies (Hergert and Heidbach, 2010, 2011; Hergert et al., 2011), (2) calculating the gravity response of this initial model and analyzing the misfit (gravity residual) between modeled and observed gravity, and (3) modifying the initial model by introducing additional density variations while integrating additional constraining data to obtain the density–geometry configuration that reproduces the observed gravity field best. In general, positive residual anomalies indicate that a greater mass is required in the model to fit the observed gravity field, whereas negative residuals imply that the mass in the model is too large in the domain of the misfit.
3-D forward gravity modeling has been performed using the Interactive Gravity and Magnetic Application System (IGMAS+; Transinsight GmbH©; Schmidt et al., 2011). In IGMAS+, the gravity response of a 3-D structural and density model is calculated and compared with the observed gravity field over the model area. Therefore, the model has to be defined in terms of the geometric configuration of its individual structural units. In addition to geometry, information on the densities needs to be assigned to the different units of the model to calculate the gravity response. The chosen parameter combinations for the different models studied are detailed in Sect. 4. IGMAS+ provides the density–geometry configuration in the form of triangulated polyhedrons over the 3-D model domain. These polyhedrons span between 2-D vertical working sections where the model can be interactively modified (Schmidt et al., 2011). For this study, a lateral resolution of 2500 m is considered, which results in 100 north–south-oriented working sections. The models extend downward to a constant depth of 50 km b.s.l., and the unit comprised between the Moho and the lower model boundary is considered to be the uniform lithospheric mantle. To avoid lateral boundary effects, the models extend, on all sides, 370 km further than the study area.
Key horizons where major contrasts in density are expected are the air–water interface, the sediment–water interface, the interface separating sediments and the crystalline crust, and the crust–mantle boundary (Moho). These interfaces also are well imaged with seismic methods and can therefore easily be integrated. Internal heterogeneities within the crust may not be identified by seismic methods or may only be identified locally along individual profiles. This is where 3-D gravity modeling can be used in addition to translate velocities to densities first along the seismic section and use density modeling to close the gaps in between. This strategy together with the three-dimensionality of the calculation strongly reduces model uncertainties imposed by the general non-uniqueness of gravity modeling, as densities need to be in certain ranges for different rock types and density anomalies at different depths produce gravity effects of different wavelengths (e.g. Schmidt et al., 2011; Maystrenko et al., 2013; Sippel et al., 2013; Maystrenko and Scheck-Wenderoth, 2013).
To assess the density variations in the deeper crust of the Sea of Marmara region, we calculate the gravity response for models of increasing complexity concerning their 3-D structural and density configuration: (1) the initial model with homogeneous crust below the sediments, (2) a more differentiated model integrating additional seismic observations for the different crustal levels below the sediments, and (3) a series of final best-fit models in which the remaining residual anomaly is minimized by implementing additional density–geometry changes in the crust but respecting the seismic data. As two different gravity datasets are available, we calculate the difference between model response and observed gravity for both datasets.
Throughout the modeling procedure, the uppermost surface, the bathymetry (Fig. 1c), the top-basement depth (Fig. 2a), and the depth to the Moho discontinuity (Fig. 2b) are kept fixed as defined in the initial model, since the geometries of these interfaces are well-constrained by geological and geophysical data. In all tested models, an average density of 1025 kg m−3 was assumed for seawater, and a homogeneous density of 3300 kg m−3 is assigned to the mantle below the Moho. For all gravity models presented, we define the uppermost surface of the model as the onshore topography and as the sea level offshore. Accordingly, the thickness between the sea level and bathymetry (Fig. 1c) corresponds to the column of seawater (Fig. 3a) which attains the largest values in the Tekirdağ, Central, and Çınarcık basins.
The database for this study includes topography–bathymetry data, geometrical and density information from a previous 3-D structural model, seismic observations, and different sets of published free-air gravity data including the shipboard gravity dataset.
3.1 Topography and bathymetry
The topography–bathymetry (Fig. 1c) was exported from the 1 arcmin global relief model (ETOPO1; Amante and Eakins, 2009). This dataset, over the study area, integrates the 30 arcsec grid obtained from NASA's Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) and a bathymetry dataset (MediMap Group, 2005) with 1 km resolution. In addition, to increase the bathymetry resolution within the northern Marmara Trough, high-resolution multibeam (EM300) acquired bathymetry (Le Pichon et al., 2001) is integrated into the model (Fig. S1 in the Supplement).
Figure 1c shows that the present-day Sea of Marmara is surrounded by regions that are up to 1500 m high. The configuration of the present-day seafloor shows that the Sea of Marmara is structured into the three main depocenters of the Tekirdağ basin, the Central basin, and the Çınarcık basin, where the water depth reaches up to 1300 m. While the axis of the Central basin is aligned along the MMF, the Çınarcık basin and the Tekirdağ basin extend only south and mostly north of the MMF, respectively. The MMF bends along the northern boundary of the Çınarcık basin, at the Tuzla bend, from an E–W-directed strike (east of the Sea of Marmara) to an ESE–WNW strike direction at the northwestern margin of the Çınarcık basin before it resumes the E–W strike direction at the Istanbul bend. The segment of the MMF between the two bends is the Princes' Islands segment. Farther to the west of the Sea of Marmara, at the Ganos bend, the MMF once more changes strike direction from E–W to ENE–WSW. There, the MMF exits the Sea of Marmara and creates the Ganos Fault segment of the NAFZ.
3.2 Initial model
The 3-D structural model (Fig. 3: Hergert and Heidbach, 2010; Hergert et al., 2011), considered to be the initial model for our study, differentiates three main horizons: (1) the topography–bathymetry (Fig. 1c), (2) a top-basement surface (Fig. 2a), and (3) the Moho discontinuity (Fig. 2b). In their study, Hergert and Heidbach (2010), modeled the top-basement geometry based on seismic observations (Parke et al., 2002; Carton et al., 2007; Laigle et al., 2008; Bécel et al., 2009, 2010) and other geophysical and geological data such as 3-D seismic tomography (Bayrakci, 2009), well data (Ergün and Özel, 1995; Elmas, 2003), and geological maps (Elmas and Yigitbas, 2001). This surface, however, has been interpreted by others as the top of Cretaceous limestone that is pre-kinematic with respect to the opening of the Sea of Marmara (Ergün and Özel, 1995; Parke et al., 2002; Le Pichon et al., 2014). Hergert and Heidbach (2010) derived the thickness of the sediments of the Sea of Marmara as the difference between bathymetry–topography and the top basement. Accordingly, their “basement” delineates the base of the sediments and not the crystalline basement. First, deep seismic surveys in the Sea of Marmara (Fig. 4: Laigle et al., 2008; Bécel et al., 2009) indicate that this basement is a pre-kinematic basement with respect to the opening of the Sea of Marmara. Accordingly, Laigle et al. (2008), suggests the term of “syn-kinematic” infill for the sediments above the pre-kinematic basement. We, therefore, regard these sediments as the syn-kinematic sediments and refer to the top basement of the initial model as the base syn-kinematic sediments in the following.
The syn-kinematic sediments in our model represent the deposits related to the opening of the Sea of Marmara and are interpreted to be mainly Pliocene–Quaternary infill (Laigle et al., 2008; Bécel et al., 2010; Bayrakci et al., 2013; Le Pichon et al., 2015). Accordingly, they are mostly missing in the domains outside the Sea of Marmara in response to their syn-kinematic origin. They are characterized by normal fault-bounded initial synrift graben fills overlain by post-rift deposits overstepping the initial graben-like sub-basins. The full nature of the mechanical conditions for the Sea of Marmara initiation are less clear. It is even partly still debated if the initiation of the Sea of Marmara and the propagation of the MMF coincide in time. There are two competing hypotheses: (1) the Sea of Marmara opened in extension, which weakened the lithosphere such that the North Anatolian Fault propagated along the weakened domains (e.g. Le Pichon et al., 2001, 2015), and (2) the releasing bend of the already-propagated North Anatolian Fault or a dextral step-over between the MMF and the southern fault favored local transtension, resulting in the formation of the Sea of Marmara as a pull-apart basin (e.g. Armijo et al., 2002, 2005). However, seismic information proves that there is a clear change in the tectonic regime with the opening of the Sea of Marmara (Fig. 4: Laigle et al., 2008; Bécel et al., 2009, 2010; Bayrakci et al., 2013). The thickness between the topography–bathymetry and the base syn-kinematic sediments represents the syn-kinematic sediment fill (Fig. 3b). This thickness is on average about 2.5 km over the Sea of Marmara area. Two thickness maxima indicate localized subsidence and sediment accumulation, the first maximum being aligned along the MMF where the syn-kinematic sediments are more than 5.2 km thick below the present-day Central basin and the southeastern part of the Tekirdağ basin and the second maximum being up to 5 km below the Çınarcık basin, limited to the northward direction by the MMF.
The depth to the Moho interface in the initial model (Fig. 2b) has been obtained by interpolating between various seismic data covering a larger area than the model area (Hergert et al., 2011; Supplement Fig. S1). To constrain the Moho depth to the model area, Hergert et al. (2011) applied a Gaussian filter to adjust the local variation of the Moho depth. The Moho is distinctly shallower below the Sea of Marmara than below the surrounding onshore areas and shows doming to a depth of 27 km below the basin. Along the basin margins, the Moho is about 30 km deep and descends eastward to more than 35 km depth beneath Anatolia.
3.3 Geophysical data
The seismic observations considered for this study, in addition to those taken into account in the initial model, include P-wave velocity profiles from an offshore–onshore reflection–refraction survey (Bécel et al., 2009) and from a 3-D seismic tomography study focused on the sediment–basement configuration of the northern Marmara Trough (Bayrakci et al., 2013). Both studies are based on the SEISMARMARA Leg 1 seismic survey (Hirn and Singh, 2001), and the locations of the related profiles in the model area are shown in Fig. 4a. Three-dimensional seismic tomography modeling in the northern Marmara Trough (Bayrakci et al., 2013) indicates that the P-wave velocities vary between 1.8 and 4.2 km s−1 within the syn-kinematic sediments. Bayrakci et al. (2013) derive the top of the crystalline basement as an iso-velocity surface with a P-wave velocity of 5.2 km s−1. In addition, relying on wide-angle reflection–refraction modeling, Bécel et al. (2009) interpreted a refractor below the base syn-kinematic sediments with a P-wave velocity close to 5.7 km s−1 as the top of the crystalline basement. These seismic studies suggest that the crust beneath the syn-kinematic sediments is not homogeneous as assumed in the initial model but that there is a unit of pre-kinematic sediments beneath the syn-kinematic sediments with an average P-wave velocity of 4.7 km s−1 above the crystalline crust (Fig. 4). The pre-kinematic sediments encompass all deposits that have accumulated before the Sea of Marmara opening. In the realm of the Sea of Marmara, based on borehole observations, these deposits are separated from the syn-kinematic sediments by a diachronous unconformity that cuts units of variable age, reaching from early Cenozoic in the upper Miocene to uppermost Cretaceous (Le Pichon et al., 2014). The pre-kinematic sediments are thinned in response to the extension–transtension related to the Sea of Marmara opening that is most pronounced in the northern Marmara Trough. Onshore, surface geological observations (Ergün and Özel, 1995; Genç, 1998; Turgut and Eseller, 2000; Yaltırak, 2002; Le Pichon et al., 2014) mapped Eocene–Oligocene sediments at the northwestern and southern margins of the Sea of Marmara that might be related to the missing units below the observed unconformity within the basin.
Furthermore, Bécel et al. (2009) interpreted a reflective horizon with a P-wave velocity of 6.7 km s−1 and that was largely parallel to the Moho topography as the top lower crystalline crust (Fig. 4b and c). Moreover, multichannel seismic reflection data collected in the southwestern part of the Central basin and in the northeastern part of Marmara Island documented a 43 km long low-angle dipping reflector interpreted as a normal detachment fault cutting through the upper crystalline crust down to the lower crust (Fig. 4c and e; Laigle et al., 2008; Bécel et al., 2009). In brief, within the upper crystalline crust, the P-wave velocity varies from 5.7 km s−1 at the top of the crystalline basement to 6.3 km s−1 above the top of the lower crystalline crust. Lateral velocity variations (∼0.3 km s−1) are also observed surrounding the detachment fault in the upper crystalline crust.
The first set of gravity observations considered in this study are based on EIGEN-6C4 (Förste et al., 2014). This dataset is a combined global gravity field model up to the degree and order of 2190, correlating satellite observations (LAGEOS, GRACE, and GOCE) and surface data (DTU global gravity anomaly grid). We used the free-air gravity anomaly, downloaded with the resolution of ETOPO1 (1 arcmin), from the International Centre for Global Earth Models (ICGEM; Barthelmes et al., 2016; Ince et al., 2019). The free-air anomaly map of the study area (Fig. 5a) displays generally low gravity values (±20 mGal) over the basin area, indicating that the basin is largely isostatically compensated. An exception is a pronounced negative anomaly with values as low as −80 mGal in the northwestern area of the Sea of Marmara around the MMF. Comparing the bathymetry (Fig. 1c) with the free-air gravity anomaly map, it is evident that this negative anomaly is not related to a larger basin depth, as bathymetry is rather uniform along the entire axial part of the basin. Likewise, the basement of the syn-kinematic sediments (Fig. 2a) is in the same range in both sub-basins. Accordingly, the negative anomaly is not due to thickness variations of the young sediments or water depth. Apart from the onshore area next to this negative anomaly, the Sea of Marmara basin is surrounded by a chain of positive free-air gravity anomalies in a range of +70 to +120 mGal that largely correlate with high topographic elevations.
The second gravity dataset used in this study is a combined satellite (TOPEX) and marine ship gravity measurements (Fig. 5b; data from Kende et al., 2017). We refer to this dataset as Improved-TOPEX. The satellite dataset is based on a marine gravity model from CryoSat-2 and Jason-1, with the horizontal resolution of 2500 m and ∼1.7 mGal of gravity accuracy over the Sea of Marmara and the Earth Gravitational Model 2008 over the onshore areas (EGM 2008; Pavlis et al., 2012; Sandwell et al., 2013, 2014). The shipboard gravity is from the Marsite cruise survey in 2014 with a ∼1 m horizontal resolution. Like the gravity observations from EIGEN-6C4, this combined gravity dataset shows mostly low gravity values (±20 mGal) over the Sea of Marmara and a chain of large gravity values (+70 to +120 mGal) over the onshore domain apart from the northwestern part of the model. Along the MMF, there are local negative gravity values as low as −80, −70, and −50, spatially correlating with the Central, Çınarcık, and Tekirdağ sub-basins, respectively.
The overall difference between these two datasets is a few milligals (±10 mGal); however, EIGEN-6C4 shows higher local gravity values up to 65 mGal at the southern part of the Princes' Islands segment and up to 50 mGals at the southern part of the Ganos bend (Fig. 5c). As shown by Kende et al. (2017), the satellite gravity dataset of TOPEX has good consistency with the processed Marsite shipboard gravity data; therefore, this discrepancy is due to the different satellite gravity datasets of TOPEX and EIGEN-6C4. In summary, and considering the discrepancy between the two datasets, it can be stated that apart from the local negative anomaly domains, the syn-kinematic sediments need to be isostatically balanced in the crust, given that the Moho topography varies on a far longer wavelength below the basin.
In addition to the initial structural model with a homogeneous crustal layer below the syn-kinematic sediments (Fig. 3), relying on seismic profiles (Fig. 4), we modified the structural model differentiating three crustal layers (Fig. 6). Considering the two different datasets (EIGEN-6C4 and Improved-TOPEX) and the non-uniqueness in potential field modeling, a range of possible configurations were tested, and of these, we present three possible best-fit models obtained from the 3-D forward gravity modeling. These results are summarized in Table 1. The gravity response of these 3-D structural density models and their corresponding residual gravity anomaly for each of the two gravity datasets are shown in Figs. 7 and 8, respectively.
4.1 Initial model
The initial model (Hergert and Heidbach, 2010; Hergert et al., 2011) resolves only the three structural units: water, syn-kinematic sediments, and a homogeneous crust (Fig. 3). Hergert et al. (2011) considered a depth-dependent density gradient based on seismic velocities for the sediments and crust. The gradient profile varies from 1700 to 2300 kg m−3 within the syn-kinematic sediments, from 2500 to 2700 kg m−3 for the first 20 % of the crust, and from 2700 to 3000 kg m−3 for the lower parts of the crust. According to this profile, we derived thickness-weighted average densities of 2000 and 2800 kg m−3 for the syn-kinematic sediments and the crust, respectively.
The calculated gravity response of the initial model (Fig. 7a) indicates a significant misfit with respect to the observed gravity of EIGEN-6C4 (Fig. 5a). In the eastern part of the model, the misfit between observed and modeled gravity is rather small and is in the range of ±20 mGal (Fig. 8a). Furthermore, within the offshore domain, along the MMF, there are two local positive residual gravity anomalies with more than +90 mGal (A and B in Fig. 8a). These positive anomalies indicate mass deficits in the model and spatially correlate with the bends along the MMF: one occurs in the southern part of the Princes' Islands segment, between the Tuzla bend and the Istanbul bend, and the other one is present south of the Ganos bend. There is also a local short-wavelength positive residual anomaly, reaching values higher than +60 mGal at the location of the Imralı basin (C in Fig. 8a). In addition, a pronounced west–east-oriented continuous negative residual anomaly of around −50 mGal is detected adjacent to the southern coastline.
The gravity response of the initial model shows a better fit with the observed gravity of Improved-TOPEX compared to EIGEN-6C4 (Fig. 8b). In the onshore domain, the residual anomalies are very similar to the residual anomalies for the EIGEN-6C4 dataset. Offshore, a distinct west–east-oriented continuous positive residual anomaly of around +40 mGal is noticeable along the MMF for the Improved-TOPEX dataset. In addition, two local positive residual gravity anomalies of A and B (Fig. 8a) are evident up to +60 mGal for the Improved-TOPEX dataset. The short-wavelength positive residual anomaly of C previously observed across the Imralı basin (Fig. 8a) is also evident for the Improved-TOPEX dataset, but with a lower value of residual gravity up to +40 mGal.
Overall, these residuals for both gravity datasets indicate that the long-wavelength gravity field is reproduced by the initial model and that the Moho topography (Fig. 2b) is consistent with observed gravity. However, the large residual anomalies of a few tens of kilometers in diameter indicate the presence of crustal density heterogeneities causing gravity anomalies of smaller wavelengths, i.e. shallower depth.
4.2 Differentiated crust
In addition to this indication of density heterogeneities in the crust from gravity, seismic observations (e.g. Laigle et al., 2008; Bécel et al., 2009, 2010; Bayrakci, 2009; Bayrakci et al., 2013) also point to crustal heterogeneity, expressed as distinct lateral and vertical variations in seismic velocity (Fig. 4). To integrate the outcomes of the seismic studies, we differentiate the crust in the next step into three units: (1) a unit of pre-kinematic sediments, (2) a unit of upper crystalline crust, and (3) a lower crystalline crustal unit.
4.2.1 Pre-kinematic sediments
In the initial model (Hergert and Heidbach, 2010; Hergert et al., 2011), the upper limit of the crust below the syn-kinematic sediments (their top basement) was mainly defined as pre-kinematic Cretaceous limestone (Ergün and Özel, 1995; Parke et al., 2002; Le Pichon et al., 2014): a surface corresponding to an increase in P-wave velocity to values larger than 4.5 km s−1. Furthermore, Bécel et al. (2009) interpreted a top crystalline basement as a surface where P-wave velocity increases to values above 5.7 km s−1 based on seismic imaging. In addition, Bayrakci et al. (2013) derived the top of the crystalline crust at an iso-velocity surface of 5.2 km s−1 based on a 3-D P-wave tomography model beneath the northern Marmara Trough. These seismic observations justify the differentiation of an additional unit of pre-kinematic sediments. Accordingly, we implement a unit whose upper limit corresponds to the top of the pre-kinematic Cretaceous limestone (the base syn-kinematic sediments in the initial model) and whose base corresponds to the top crystalline basement (Fig. 6).
The top crystalline crust topography proposed by Bécel et al. (2009) and by Bayrakci et al. (2013) is similar, and the depth difference between the surfaces presented in the two studies is mostly less than 2 km (Fig. 4c). Therefore, we derive the geometry of the top crystalline basement for the gravity test, applying a convergent interpolation between the seismic profiles (Fig. 4) of Bayrakci et al. (2013) and of Bécel et al. (2009).
As the newly implemented pre-kinematic sedimentary unit represents the pre-Sea of Marmara deposits, it is mostly absent in the realm of the present-day Sea of Marmara (Fig. 6a). Its thickness displays maxima of up to 7.2 km along the northwestern and southern margins of the present-day Sea of Marmara and significantly decreases eastwards to less than 1.5 km.
Bayrakci et al. (2013) showed that the average velocity of the pre-kinematic sediments is around 4.7 km s−1. To convert the velocity information for this unit into density, we use an empirical equation (Eq. 1) which is a polynomial regression to the Nafe–Drake curve valid for P-wave velocities between 1.5 to 8.5 km s−1 (Fig. S2 in the Supplement; Brocher, 2005; after Ludwig et al., 1970). Correspondingly, an average density of 2490 kg m−3 has been assigned to the pre-kinematic sediments, considering an average P-wave velocity of 4.7 km s−1:
4.2.2 Crystalline crust
Apart from the unit of pre-kinematic sediments, the P-wave velocity model of Bécel et al. (2009) differentiates an additional crustal interface across which P-wave velocities increase from values of around 6.2 km s−1 above the interface to values higher than 6.7 km s−1 below the interface. They interpreted this interface as the top of the lower crystalline crust. Consequently, we applied a convergent interpolation between the seismic profiles (Fig. 4) of Bécel et al. (2009) to derive the top lower crystalline crust implemented into the next model. Eventually, we considered the thickness between the top crystalline basement and the top of the lower crystalline crust to be the upper crystalline crustal unit. Its thickness distribution (Fig. 6b) shows pronounced thickness minima below the thickness maxima of the syn-kinematic sediments, where the upper crystalline crust is less than 12 km thick. In contrast, the upper crystalline crust is up to 23 km thick below the southwestern margin of the present-day Sea of Marmara and reaches more than 25 km in thickness along the eastern margin.
Below the upper crystalline crust, a lower crystalline crustal unit is modeled, bounded to its base by the Moho discontinuity. It is characterized by an almost-uniform thickness distribution (Fig. 6c) of around 10 km across the Sea of Marmara. In the northwestern corner of the model area, where the Moho surface (Fig. 2b) descends, the thickness of the modeled lower crystalline crust reaches its maximum of up to 14 km. In contrast, this unit thins to less than 5 km below the southwestern and northeastern margins of the present-day Sea of Marmara, where the upper crystalline crust thickens to 23 and 25 km, respectively. Offshore, adjacent to the Armutlu Peninsula, the lower crystalline crust has an increased thickness (up to 13 km) correlating with the upper crustal thinning to around 12 km.
Throughout the upper crystalline crustal unit, seismic velocities increase with depth from 5.7 to 6.3 km s−1 (Bécel et al., 2009). Therefore, we considered 6 km s−1 to be the average P-wave velocity of the upper crystalline crust. P-wave velocities for the lower crystalline crust show less variation; thus, 6.7 km s−1 has been adopted as the average P-wave velocity within the lower crystalline crust. The density for both crystalline crustal layers is calculated respecting the P-wave velocities (Eq. 1): 2720 and 2890 kg m−3 for the upper and lower crystalline crust, respectively.
The gravity calculated for this refined model shows a better fit with the observed gravity datasets in comparison to the initial model (Fig. 8). Nevertheless, regarding the EIGEN-6C4 dataset, the three local large positive residual gravity anomalies observed for the initial model (A, B, and C in Fig. 8a) are still evident, indicating that the implemented subdivision of the crust alone is insufficient (Fig. 8c). The wavelength of the two other positive residual anomalies at A and B is too large to be caused by a high-density feature at the sedimentary fill level but too small to be a result of density heterogeneities in the mantle. Thus, we concluded that these misfits are most likely related to high-density bodies within the crystalline crust. The short-wavelength positive anomaly at location C could be interpreted as a local lack of mass within the modeled sedimentary fill of the Imralı basin.
In contrast, considering the Improved-TOPEX dataset, implementing the pre-kinematic sediments and two crystalline crustal units instead of a uniform crustal unit successfully compensate the local positive residuals of C over the Imralı basin as well as the west–east-oriented continuous positive residual anomaly along the MMF (Fig. 8d). However, the residual map still shows values of negative anomalies down to −60 mGal across Marmara Island, in the northeast of the Kapıdağ Peninsula (offshore), and over the Armutlu Peninsula (D, E, and F in Fig. 8d). In addition, up to +50 mGal of positive residual anomalies are detected in the northeastern margin of the Sea of Marmara and across the Tekirdağ basin (G and H in Fig. 8d).
4.2.3 Best-fit models
To overcome the remaining misfits between modeled and observed gravity, we incorporated additional crustal density heterogeneities during forward gravity modeling that we tested with respect to both gravity datasets. The gravity response of the best-fit models and their corresponding residuals are shown in Figs. 7c–e and 8e–g, respectively. Over most of the model area, the residual gravity anomaly (Fig. 8e–g) shows differences between modeled and observed gravity datasets of ±20 mGal. Achieving this fit required the implementation of two dome-shaped high-density bodies of considerable dimension in the crystalline crust. Considering the differences between the two alternative gravity datasets (Fig. 5) and non-uniqueness of the gravity method, several configurations of these high-density bodies are plausible that differ in size or density. Here, we present three possible end-members of the high-density bodies respecting both gravity datasets: one model for EIGEN-6C4 (Model I) and two models for Improved-TOPEX (Model II and Model III).
Best-fit model to EIGEN-6C4 (Model I)
In this best-fit model, high-density bodies have an average density of 3150 kg m−3, thus being denser than the lower crystalline crust (average density 2890 kg m−3) but less dense than the mantle (3300 kg m−3). They extend from the Moho upward, cutting through the lower crystalline crust and reaching into the upper crystalline crust as shallow as ∼5 km depth. Accordingly, the high-density bodies attain thicknesses of up to 25 km (Figs. 9 and 10).
The position of these high-density bodies spatially correlates with the domains where the MMF bends (Figs. 9 and 11). At the western margin of the Sea of Marmara and below the Ganos bend, the high-density body cuts the lower crystalline crust at a depth of around 22 km b.s.l. and continues through the upper crystalline crust. The shallower part of this body (less than 6 km b.s.l.) is located directly to the east of the Ganos bend, where the MMF changes its strike direction from E–W to ENE–WSW. Likewise, the second high-density body is modeled beneath the Princes' Islands segment at the eastern margin of the Sea of Marmara, and the top of the body is located at a depth of around 5 km b.s.l. (Figs. 9 and 11).
By introducing the two high-density bodies into the structural model, eventually the thickness distribution of the upper and lower crystalline crust has changed below the Çınarcık and Tekirdağ basins, where the high-density bodies largely replace the crystalline crustal units (Fig. S3 in the Supplement). Over the rest of the model area, the thickness distribution of the crystalline crustal units is similar to the one in the model explained in Sect. 4.2.2. Remarkably, the long axis of the eastern high-density body follows the strike direction of the Princes' Islands segment (Figs. 9 and 11). In addition, a spatial correlation is evident between the location of the two high-density bodies with the position of the young depocenters of the Çınarcık and Tekirdağ basins, as indicated by the deepest present-day bathymetry and by thickness maxima of the syn-kinematic sediments (Figs. 1c and 3).
Best-fit models to Improved-TOPEX (Model II and Model III)
As shown earlier, the model with the differentiated crustal units (Fig. 6) already represents a good fit to Improved-TOPEX (Fig. 8d). Here, we quantify the influence of the high-density bodies with an average density of 3150 kg m−3 on the gravity response. The forward gravity modeling output indicates that the high-density bodies need to be smaller in size for the same average density value (Model II). The corresponding misfit between Model II and observed gravity of Improved-TOPEX shows that the positive residuals of G and H are considerably reduced as well as the continuous negative residuals at the southern margin of the Sea of Marmara (Fig. 8f). Comparing with Model I (the best-fit model to EIGEN-6C4), these high-density bodies can be modeled for the same location, but with a smaller maximum thickness of ∼16 km (Figs. 9, 10, and 11).
As the second end-member solution for a best-fit model to Improved-TOPEX (Model III), we test a configuration in which the geometry of the high-density bodies is identical to Model I (the best-fit model to EIGEN-6C4). Therefore, Model III has a similar structural setting to Model I. The results show that an average density of 2890 kg m−3, equivalent to the value assigned for the lower crust average density, would fit the gravity response of Model III to the Improved-TOPEX dataset best (Fig. 8g).
In summary, all three best-fit models indicate significant lateral density variation within the crystalline crust and require the presence of two dome-shaped high-density bodies that spatially correlate with the bends of the MMF with the density ranges of ∼2890 to ∼3150 kg m−3.
The response of the best-fit gravity models (Fig. 7c–e) and their corresponding misfit (Fig. 8e–g) confirmed that the crust below the Sea of Marmara is characterized by significant density heterogeneities. In summary, these models resolve six crustal units with different densities that indicate different lithological settings within the crust (Fig. 10 and Table 1).
The uppermost and youngest layer is the present-day water column (Fig. 3a) that is largest in the present-day sub-basins of the Sea of Marmara and underlain by the unit of syn-kinematic sediments of the Sea of Marmara (Fig. 3b). These syn-kinematic sediments are present mainly inside the Sea of Marmara domain, and their thickness distribution indicates a subsidence regime similar to the present-day one. The relationship between the individual sub-basins of the Sea of Marmara and the course of the MMF are, however, different: the shape of the present-day Tekirdağ basin is not evident in the thickness distribution of the syn-kinematic sediments, whereas the Central basin along the MMF and the Çınarcık basin largely follow their present-day counterparts. This indicates that the differentiation in the present-day Central and Çınarcık basins postdates the syn-kinematic phase of the Sea of Marmara. The average density of 2000 kg m−3 and the observed seismic velocities of 1800 to 4200 m s−1 (Bayrakci et al., 2013) indicate that this unit is mainly composed of poorly consolidated clastic deposits. There is, however, little information on their precise ages; suggested time intervals for the deposition of this unit range from the Late Miocene to Holocene, with a longer deposition portion of the unit assigned to the interval between Pliocene and Holocene times (Le Pichon et al., 2014, 2015).
a Bayrakci et al. (2013). b Hergert et al. (2011). c Bécel et al. (2009). d Christensen and Mooney (1995).
The third modeled unit is characterized by an average density of 2490 kg m−3 and by observed seismic velocities of 4200–5200 m s−1 (Fig. 4d and e; Laigle et al., 2008; Bayrakci et al., 2013) representative of sediments. At the same time, the unit is largely missing below the present-day Sea of Marmara. We therefore interpret this unit as a pre-Sea of Marmara sedimentary unit above the top crystalline basement. The areas where the maximum thickness is more than 6 km are modeled for the pre-kinematic sediments (NW and S of the Sea of Marmara) coincide spatially with the location where pre-Neogene rocks are present according to surface geology (Yaltırak, 2002). Other surface geological observations (Ergün and Özel, 1995; Genç, 1998; Turgut and Eseller, 2000; Le Pichon et al., 2014) also report the presence of Eocene–Oligocene sediments at the location where the maximum thickness of the pre-kinematic sediment unit is modeled.
The sedimentary units are underlain by the upper crystalline crust, which is thinned below both the Sea of Marmara and the pre-kinematic sediments. This indicates that upper crustal thinning accompanied both phases of basin evolution. Both the modeled average density and observed seismic velocities for the upper crystalline crust indicate that this unit is dominantly composed of felsic crystalline rocks. A comparison of the average density of 2720 kg m−3 and average P-wave velocity of 6000 m s−1 (Bécel et al., 2009) of the upper crystalline crust with velocity–density pairs derived from laboratory measurements (Christensen and Mooney, 1995) indicates a composition corresponding to phyllite and/or biotite gneiss.
Below the upper crystalline crust, the lower crystalline crust follows; the top of which is largely parallel to the Moho topography. The thickness of this unit (Fig. 6c) indicates no clear spatial relationship with the formation of both generations of pre- and syn-kinematic basins. Here, the modeled average density and observed seismic velocities are indicative of an intermediate to mafic composition. Combining the physical properties of the lower crystalline crust (ρ=2890 kg m−3 and Vp=6700 m s−1) and the property compilations of Christensen and Mooney (1995), the lithology of the lower crustal unit could be interpreted as diorite and/or granulite.
The sixth unit is the one with the largest differences in density–geometry configuration based on the forward gravity modeling to the two alternative gravity datasets. For this unit, we predict three alternative lateral density configurations that all entail two dome-shaped high-density bodies within the crystalline crust: two models with an average density of 3150 kg m−3 (Model I and Model II) and one model with an average density of 2890 kg m−3 (Model III).
5.1 High-density bodies of 3150 kg m−3 (Model I and Model II)
In the best-fit gravity model with respect to EIGEN-6C4 (Model I), the sixth unit encompasses two high-density bodies rising from the Moho in a dome-shaped manner through both crystalline crustal layers (Fig. 9a). For these bodies, a rather high density (3150 kg m−3) has to be assumed, which indicates that they are of mafic composition. Considering the seismic velocity and density relationship (Eq. 1), a corresponding average P-wave velocity for such a high-density body with an average density would be around 7.5–7.6 km s−1.
In contrast, the forward gravity modeling with respect to Improved-TOPEX (Model II) predicts that the sixth unit with the same average density value of 3150 kg m−3 is smaller in size (Fig. 9b). In both solutions, the locations of the high-density bodies correlate spatially with the location of two major bends of the MMF (Figs. 9 and 11), indicating that such a mafic composition in concert with their considerable thickness could result in greater strength compared to the surrounding felsic upper crust or the intermediate–mafic lower crust.
The mechanisms and timing of the emplacement of the high-density bodies are, however, difficult to determine. The modeled density indicates that the high-density bodies represent magmatic additions to the Marmara crust, potentially originating from larger depths that rose buoyantly into domains of local extension. Magnetic anomalies across the Sea of Marmara indicate positive anomalies along the MMF that may be interpreted as magnetic bodies along the fault (Ates et al., 1999, 2003, 2008). In particular, the locations of the high-density bodies beneath the Çınarcık basin correlate spatially with the maximum positive magnetic anomaly (Ates et al., 2008), which indicates that some mafic lithology is present there below the non-magnetic sediments.
The spatial correlation between the position of the high-density bodies and the position of the eastern thickness maxima in the syn-kinematic sediments indicates that subsidence in the syn-kinematic basins at least partly took place in response to cooling of previously emplaced (magmatic) high-density bodies. This would imply that the emplacement of the high-density bodies predates the formation of the Sea of Marmara sub-basins and the propagation of the MMF. To assess the possible contribution of thermal cooling to the subsidence history of the Sea of Marmara, a detailed subsidence analysis with determination of the tectonic subsidence would be required.
As we do not have further evidence for a magmatic origin of the high-density bodies, other possible interpretations of these domains may be considered. For example, these high-density bodies could represent inherited structures of former deformation phases such as ophiolites along the Intra-Pontide suture that has been mapped on land but have not yet been explored offshore (Okay and Tüysüz, 1999; Robertson and Ustaömer, 2004; Le Pichon et al., 2014; Akbayram et al., 2016b). The two different emplacement mechanisms would have opposing consequences for the propagation of the North Anatolian Fault. The magmatic origin would be consistent with crustal weakening in these domains, whereas the ophiolite origin would imply the opposite. In both cases, however, a local strength anomaly in these domains would be the consequence that could be related to the bending of the fault. Whatever the origin of these bodies, their mafic composition would imply that they represent domains of higher strength in the present-day setting.
5.2 High-density bodies of 2890 kg m−3 (Model III)
In Model III, as the alternative best-fit model for the Improved-TOPEX gravity dataset, the sixth unit has been calculated identical to the geometry of Model I (Fig. 9a), but with the average density of 2890 kg m−3, being similar to the average density of the lower crust. This density value is consistent with the average density value of intermediate to mafic metamorphic rocks such as granulite (Christensen and Mooney, 1995). In this case, these two dome-shaped bodies may be interpreted as trapped metamorphic rocks along the Intra-Pontide suture zone that spatially correlates with the North Anatolian Fault propagation (Şengör et al., 2005; Le Pichon et al., 2014; Akbayram et al., 2016b).
Several studies of exhumed orogen-related strike-slip faults indicate that dome-shaped metamorphic bodies of lower crust are a common phenomenon below transtensional pull-apart basins (Leloup et al., 1995; West and Hubbard, 1997; Jolivet et al., 2001; Labrousse et al., 2004; Corsini and Rolland, 2009). Thus the high-density bodies could represent metamorphic core complexes exhumed in response to strike-slip deformation. Such exhumation has also been proposed from numerical modeling studies across strike-slip basins such as the Sea of Marmara or the Dead Sea (Sobolev et al., 2005; Le Pourhiet et al., 2012, 2014).
5.3 Comparison with published 3-D density model
In a previous density modeling study, Kende et al. (2017) inverted the long-wavelength gravity signals to derive the Moho topography below the Marmara region using the same Improved-TOPEX gravity dataset that we used in our study. We also consider the same bathymetry and the same seismic dataset within the Sea of Marmara as Kende et al. (2017). The main difference between their density modeling and ours consists of the applied gravity methods. In our approach, we applied forward gravity modeling method, while Kende et al. (2017) mainly used an inversion method to compensate for the misfit between modeled and observed gravity. The second principal difference is that Kende at al. (2017) considered the Moho depth to be the primary reason for the misfit. As mentioned earlier (initial model in Section 4.1), the depth to the Moho in our model (Fig. 2b) has been obtained based on various seismic data covering a larger area than the Marmara region (Hergert et al., 2011; Supplement Fig. S1) and was kept fixed during the forward gravity modeling. In contrast, the Moho topography in Kende et al. (2017) was obtained by gravity inversion.
We have tested the full density model of Kende et al. (2017), and the results are presented as supplementary information (Figs. S4 and S5). The misfit between the previous model (Kende et al., 2017) and the observed gravity of EIGEN-6C4 (Fig. S5 in the Supplement) generally has the same characteristics as the misfit between our differentiated crust model (two sediment units, upper crust, and lower crust) and EIGEN-6C4 observed gravity (Fig. 8c). This indicates that the two positive residual anomalies of A and B (Fig. 8) are not related to the sediment thickness. Specifically, it means that the local Moho uplifts in the model of Kende et al. (2017) would need to be much larger than 5 km to fit the calculated gravity if one considered the observed gravity datasets of EIGEN-6C4.
Comparing our results with the ones from Kende et al. (2017), we see consistent features. In particular, there is a need in both studies for a deep compensation of the sedimentary fill, and Kende et al. (2017) propose solving this with an uplift of the Moho in the domains of our lower crustal high-density bodies. In detail, assuming a laterally uniform density of the crystalline crust, they propose ∼5 km local shallowing of the Moho. In other words, Moho uplifts in their model are also high-density bodies that are 5 km thick, with a density of 3330 kg m−3, which is comparable to ∼16 km thick high-density bodies with an average density of 3150 kg m−3 or ∼25 km thick high-density bodies with an average density of 2890 kg m−3 in our models.
5.4 Model limitations
The modeled upper and lower crystalline crustal units are consistent with seismic observations and velocity modeling (Figs. 4 and 10; Laigle et al., 2008; Bécel et al., 2009, 2010; Bayrakci et al., 2013). In contrast, seismic studies did not report the presence of large high-velocity bodies that would coincide spatially with the modeled high-density bodies. There are only a few indications from seismic tomography (Bayrakci et al., 2013) discriminating a zone of high P-wave velocity (Vp > 6.5 km s−1) below the top crystalline basement beneath the Çınarcık basin (Fig. 4). This high-velocity zone approximately correlates with the top of the high-density body in this area (Fig. 10). In addition, other tomography results (Yamamoto et al., 2017) indicate a zone of higher S-wave velocity and slightly higher P-wave velocity at about 20 km depth b.s.l., in the area where the western high-density body cuts the boundary between the upper and the lower crystalline crust.
While the aeromagnetic maps (Ates et al., 2003, 2008) indicate a clear positive anomaly (indicative for a mafic body at depth) beneath the Çınarcık basin that spatially correlates with the eastern high-density bodies, there are no such indications for the western high-density body beneath the Ganos bend. Considering the non-uniqueness of solutions in potential field modeling, other possible solutions based on different initial models should also be contemplated beneath the Ganos bend (e.g. Kende et al., 2017; see Figs. S4 and S5 in the Supplement).
The gravity responses of the best-fit models present a good fit (±20 mGal) over most of the model area. Nevertheless, there are still some negative residual gravity anomalies across Marmara Island, in the northeast of the Kapıdağ Peninsula (offshore), and over the Armutlu Peninsula (D, E, and F in Fig. 8). The short wavelengths of these negative residual anomalies indicate that shallow low-density features remain unresolved in the model. Regarding the negative residuals anomaly at location E, an interpretation remains difficult due to the offshore location of the anomaly. In contrast, considering the surface geological observations might help to reveal the negative residual at the location of Marmara Island and the Armutlu Peninsula. The thickness distribution maps (Figs. 3 and 6) show that Marmara Island dominantly exposes rocks of the upper crystalline crust. More precisely, geological surface observations in this area (Aksoy 1995, 1996; Attanasio et al., 2008; Karacık et al., 2008; Ustaömer et al., 2009) differentiate three main rock types in outcrops: a Permian marble unit in the north, an Eocene granodiorite unit in the center, and a Permian metabasite in the south of Marmara Island. Considering the residual anomalies (Fig. 8), these three units have densities that are different from the average density assumed for the upper crystalline crust (2720 kg m−3). Our result of obtaining a negative residual indicates that the subsurface extent of rocks with densities lower than the assumed average for the upper crystalline crust is larger than that of the units with higher densities. In other words, the marble would make up a larger portion of the island's subsurface than the metabasites or granodiorites.
The negative residual anomaly at Armutlu Peninsula (F in Fig. 8) is found where the syn-kinematic sedimentary unit is absent (Fig. 3b), whereas a thickening of the pre-kinematic sediments is modeled there (Fig. 6a). Geological maps (Genç, 1998; Yaltırak, 2002; Akbayram et al., 2016a) show that this area is mainly covered by pre-Neogene basement, Miocene acid-intermediate volcanic rocks, and some Pliocene–Holocene clastic sediments. However, the model does not account for these locally documented occurrences of syn-kinematic sediments (Pliocene–Holocene clastics) and of Miocene volcanic rocks in this domain, which, overall, could explain the negative residual anomaly.
The gravity modeling demonstrates that considering a homogenous crystalline crust beneath the Sea of Marmara is not a valid assumption but rather that a two-layered crystalline crust cross-cut by two large local high-density (3150 kg m−3) bodies is plausible.
An interesting finding is the spatial correlation between the position of the high-density bodies and the two major bends of the MMF. If the high-density bodies represent high-strength domains of the Sea of Marmara crust, it would cause local stress deviations influencing the fault propagation direction. The 3-D view of the MMF in relation to the position of the high-density bodies illustrates how the MMF bends in these high-strength domains (Fig. 11). This would imply that the emplacement of the high-density bodies also predates the propagation of the North Anatolian Fault into the Sea of Marmara. Such an interpretation would support the previously proposed hypothesis that the NAFZ reached the eastern part of the present-day Sea of Marmara (İzmit) around 4 Ma before present, when the area was a domain of distributed transtensional and/or tensional deformation, and started to propagate beneath the present-day Sea of Marmara as the MMF about 2.5 Ma ago (Le Pichon et al., 2014, 2015).
Another implication from density modeling is that the compositional and therefore also rheological heterogeneity of the Marmara crust may result in a differential response of the area to present-day far-field stresses. Accordingly, conclusions drawn from earlier studies investigating the stress–strain state in the region of the Sea of Marmara with a geomechanical–numerical model (Hergert and Heidbach, 2010, 2011; Hergert et al., 2011) need to be revised.
One of the important discussions in the area of the Marmara region is on aspects that govern the dynamics of the MMF, where a 250-year seismic gap 15 km south of Istanbul is observed. The western segment of the MMF is considered to be a partially creeping segment (Schmittbuhl et al., 2016; Bohnhoff et al., 2017b; Yamamoto et al., 2019), whereas the eastern–central segment of the MMF is thought to be locked down to 10 km depth (Bohnhoff et al., 2013, 2017b; Ergintav et al., 2014; Sakic et al., 2016). The reasons why this seismic gap of the MMF has not ruptured over the past 250 years are debated. The felsic to intermediate crustal composition deduced from our gravity model would favor creep between the two crustal high-density bodies, whereas the two domains of the high-density bodies could represent locked segments that would require high-stress levels to fail. In case of failure, however, the energy would probably be released in a strong earthquake. These high-density bodies are interpreted as mafic and therefore represent stronger material than the surrounding felsic to intermediate crustal material of the same depth. Such rheological heterogeneities would explain the distribution of different deformation modes with creeping segments in the felsic to intermediate crustal domains and locked to critically stressed segments in the mafic domains. This hypothesis could have implications for hazard and risk assessment in this area but need to be tested by geodynamic models considering thermo-mechanical principles.
In this study, 3-D crustal density configurations are presented for the Sea of Marmara that integrate available seismological observations and are consistent with observed gravity. Testing successively models of increasing complexity, three best-fit models are derived that resolve six crustal units with different densities (Table 1). From our results, we conclude the following:
The present-day seafloor of the Sea of Marmara has a more complex structure than during the phase of its initiation and is divided into the three main depocenters of the Tekirdağ basin, the Central basin, and the Çınarcık basin.
Below the present-day seafloor, the unit of syn-kinematic sediments of the Sea of Marmara indicates that two main depocenters were subsiding during the early phase of basin formation. A lower sedimentary unit is interpreted as pre-kinematic sediments of the Sea of Marmara. The sedimentary units are underlain by a felsic upper crystalline crust that is significantly thinned below the basin. The lowest crustal layer of regional extent is an intermediate to mafic lower crystalline crust. Both crystalline crustal layers are cut by two up-doming high-density bodies that rise from the Moho to relatively shallow depths.
The emplacement of the high-density bodies within the crystalline crust could have a causal relationship with the basin-forming mechanism.
The spatial correlation between the high-density bodies with two major bends of the MMF indicates that rheological contrasts in the crust may control the propagation and movement of the MMF; these high-density bodies are a possible explanation for the bends of the MMF and support the hypothesis that the MMF is geomechanically segmented.
The configurations of the high-density bodies are exclusively based on 3-D forward gravity modeling, a method characterized by inherent non-uniqueness of the solutions. Only for the eastern bend, seismic and magnetic data support the presence of a deep high-density body, whereas for the western bend, such indications are missing. Therefore, further geophysical observations are required to further constrain the detailed density–geometry configuration of these bodies.
The high-density bodies may have an impact on the stress variability along the MMF. Thus, geomechanical models of the area should account for lateral variations in crustal density.
The EIGEN-6C4 gravity data can be downloaded from http://icgem.gfz-potsdam.de/home (last access: 14 May 2019). For the Improved-TOPEX gravity data, contact Pierre Henry (firstname.lastname@example.org). All other sources used for the density modeling are referenced in the paper and are available from the authors upon request (email@example.com).
The supplement related to this article is available online at: https://doi.org/10.5194/se-10-785-2019-supplement.
EG, MSW, and OH designed the study. OH provided the initial model. EG did the density modeling and discussed the results with MSW, JB, OH, and MRS. EG produced the figures and wrote the paper supported by MSW, JB, OH, and MRS. EG, MSW, and OH contributed to the reviewing and editing of the paper.
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
The research leading to these results was conducted under the auspices of the ALErT initiative (Anatolian pLateau climatE and Tectonic hazards), an Initial Training Network (ITN) financed by the European Union's Seventh Framework Programme FP7/2007–2013 under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (MSCA) REA grant agreement no. 607996. We are indebted to Pierre Henry for his supportive comments as a referee and his contribution of the Improved-TOPEX gravity dataset and the structural model of Kende at al. (2017) including the high-resolution bathymetry grid. We are thankful to Mathieu Rodriguez and one anonymous referee for providing insightful reviews and constructive comments, which improved the quality of this paper. We also would like to acknowledge the comments of Hans-Jürgen Götze in the open discussion.
This paper was edited by Mioara Mandea and reviewed by Mathieu Rodriguez, Pierre Henry, and one anonymous referee.
Akbayram, K., Sorlien, C. C., and Okay, A. I.: Evidence for a minimum 52±1 km of total offset along the northern branch of the North Anatolian Fault in northwest Turkey, Tectonophysics, 668, 35–41, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2015.11.026, 2016a.
Akbayram, K., Şengör, A. C., and Özcan, E.: The evolution of the Intra-Pontide suture: implications of the discovery of late Cretaceous–early Tertiary melanges, Geol.l Soc. Am. Spec. Pap., 525, SPE525–18, https://doi.org/10.1130/2016.2525(18), 2016b.
Aksoy, R.: Stratigraphy of the Marmara sland and Kapıdag Peninsula, Bulletin of Turkish Petroleum Geologists Society, 7, 33–49, 1995. (in Turkish)
Aksoy, R.: Mesoscopic tectonic features of the Marmara island and the Kapıdağıpeninsula, NW Turkey, Turkish J. Earth Sci., 5, 187–195, 1996.
Amante, C. and Eakins, B. W.: ETOPO1 1 Arc-Minute Global Relief Model: Procedures, Data Sources and Analysis, NOAA Technical Memorandum NESDIS NGDC-24, National Geophysical Data Center, NOAA, https://doi.org/10.7289/V5C8276M, 2009.
Ambraseys, N. N.: Some characteristic features of the Anatolian fault zone, Tectonophysics, 9, 143–165, https://doi.org/10.1016/0040-1951(70)90014-4, 1970.
Ambraseys, N.: The seismic activity of the Marmara Sea region over the last 2000 years, B. Seismol. Soc. Am., 92, 1–18, https://doi.org/10.1785/0120000843, 2002.
Armijo, R., Meyer, B., Hubert, A., and Barka, A.: Westward propagation of the North Anatolian fault into the northern Aegean: Timing and kinematics, Geology, 27, 267–270, https://doi.org/10.1130/0091-7613(1999)027<0267:WPOTNA>2.3.CO;2, 1999.
Armijo, R., Meyer, B., Navarro, S., King, G., and Barka, A.: Asymmetric slip partitioning in the Sea of Marmara pull-apart: A clue to propagation processes of the North Anatolian fault?, Terra Nova, 14, 80–86, https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3121.2002.00397.x, 2002.
Armijo, R., Pondard, N., Meyer, B., Uçarkus, G., de Lépinay, B. M., Malavieille, J., Dominguez, S., Gustcher, M. A., Schmidt, S., Beck, C., and Cagatay, N.: Submarine fault scarps in the Sea of Marmara pull-apart (North Anatolian Fault): Implications for seismic hazard in Istanbul, Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst., 6, Q06009, https://doi.org/10.1029/2004GC000896, 2005.
Ates, A., Kearey, P., and Tufan, S.: New gravity and magnetic anomaly maps of Turkey, Geophys. J. Int., 136, 499–502, https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-246X.1999.00732.x, 1999.
Ates, A., Kayiran, T.,and Sincer, I.: Structural interpretation of the Marmara region, NW Turkey, from aeromagnetic, seismic and gravity data, Tectonophysics, 367, 41–99, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0040-1951(03)00044-1, 2003.
Ates, A., Bilim, F., Buyuksarac, A., and Bektas, Ö.: A tectonic interpretation of the Marmara Sea, NW Turkey from geophysical data, Earth Planets Space, 60, 169–177, https://doi.org/10.1186/BF03352780, 2008.
Attanasio, D., Brilli, M., and Bruno, M.: The properties and identification of marble from Proconnesos (Marmara Island, Turkey): a new database including isotopic, EPR and petrographic data, Archaeometry, 50, 747–774, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4754.2007.00364.x, 2008.
Barka, A.: Slip distribution along the North Anatolian fault associated with the large earthquakes of the period 1939 to 1967, B. Seismol. Soc. Am., 86, 1238–1254, 1996.
Barka, A. and Reilinger, R.: Active tectonics of the Eastern Mediterranean region: deduced from GPS, neotectonic and seismicity data, Ann. Geophys., 40, 587–610, https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-3892, 1997.
Barka, A., Akyuz, H. S., Altunel, E., Sunal, G., Cakir, Z., Dikbas, A., Yerli, B., Armijo, R., Meyer, B., De Chabalier, J. B., and Rockwell, T.: The surface rupture and slip distribution of the 17 August 1999 Izmit earthquake (M 7.4), North Anatolian fault, B. Seismol. Soc. Am., 92, 43–60, https://doi.org/10.1785/0120000841, 2002.
Barka, A. A. and Hancock, P. L.: Neotectonic deformation patterns in the convex-northwards arc of the North Anatolian faultzone, Geol. Soc. Lon. Spec. Pub., 17, 763–774, https://doi.org/10.1144/GSL.SP.1984.017.01.61, 1984.
Barka, A. A. and Kadinsky-Cade, K.: Strike-slip fault geometry in Turkey and its influence on earthquake activity, Tectonics, 7, 663–684, https://doi.org/10.1029/TC007i003p00663, 1988.
Barthelmes, F. and Köhler, W.: International Centre for Global Earth Models (ICGEM), in: The Geodesists Handbook 2016, edited by: Drewes, H., Kuglitsch, F., Adám, J. et al., J. Geodesy, 90, 907–1205, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00190-016-0948-z, 2016.
Bayrakci, G.: Hétérogénéité 3-D de la croûte supérieure sous la Mer de Marmara: tomographie sur une grille de sismomètres fond de mer et de profils de tirs (Doctoral dissertation, Paris, Institut de physique du globe), 2009.
Bayrakci, G., Laigle, M., Bécel, A., Hirn, A., Taymaz, T., Yolsal-Çevikbilen, S., and Team, S.: 3-D sediment-basement tomography of the Northern Marmara trough by a dense OBS network at the nodes of a grid of controlled source profiles along the North Anatolian fault, Geophys. J. Int., 194, 1335–1357, https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggt211, 2013.
Bécel, A., Laigle, M., de Voogd, B., Hirn, A., Taymaz, T., Galvé, A., Shimamura, H., Murai, Y., Lépine, J. C., Sapin, M., and Özalaybey, S.: Moho, crustal architecture and deep deformation under the North Marmara Trough, from the SEISMARMARA Leg 1 offshore–onshore reflection–refraction survey, Tectonophysics, 467, 1–21, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2008.10.022, 2009.
Bécel, A., Laigle, M., De Voogd, B., Hirn, A., Taymaz, T., Yolsal-Cevikbilen, S., and Shimamura, H.: North Marmara Trough architecture of basin infill, basement and faults, from PSDM reflection and OBS refraction seismics, Tectonophysics, 490, 1–14, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2010.04.004, 2010.
Bohnhoff, M., Bulut, F., Dresen, G., Malin, P. E., Eken, T., and Aktar, M.: An earthquake gap south of Istanbul, Nature Commun., 4, 1999, https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms2999, 2013.
Bohnhoff, M., Martínez-Garzón, P., Bulut, F., Stierle, E., and Ben-Zion, Y.: Maximum earthquake magnitudes along different sections of the North Anatolian fault zone, Tectonophysics, 674, 147–165, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2016.02.028, 2016a.
Bohnhoff, M., Ickrath, M., and Dresen, G.: Seismicity distribution in conjunction with spatiotemporal variations of coseismic slip and postseismic creep along the combined 1999 Izmit-Düzce rupture, Tectonophysics, 686, 132–145, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2016.07.029, 2016b.
Bohnhoff, M., Dresen, G., Ceken, U., Kadirioglu, F. T., Kartal, R. F., Kilic, T., Nurlu, M., Yanik, K., Acarel, D., Bulut, F., and Ito, H.: GONAF – the borehole Geophysical Observatory at the North Anatolian Fault in the eastern Sea of Marmara, Sci. Drill., 22, 19–28, https://doi.org/10.5194/sd-22-19-2017, 2017a.
Bohnhoff, M., Wollin, C., Domigall, D., Küperkoch, L., Martínez-Garzón, P., Kwiatek, G., Dresen, G., and Malin, P. E.: Repeating Marmara Sea earthquakes: indication for fault creep, Geophys. J. Int., 210, 332–339, https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggx169, 2017b.
Brocher, T. M.: Empirical relations between elastic wavespeeds and density in the Earth's crust, B. Seismol. Soc. Am., 95, 2081–2092, https://doi.org/10.1785/0120050077, 2005.
Bürgmann, R., Ergintav, S., Segall, P., Hearn, E. H., McClusky, S., Reilinger, R. E., Woith, H., and Zschau, J.: Time-dependent distributed afterslip on and deep below the Izmit earthquake rupture, B. Seismol. Soc. Am., 92, 126–137, https://doi.org/10.1785/0120000833, 2002.
Corsini, M. and Rolland, Y.: Late evolution of the southern European Variscan belt: exhumation of the lower crust in a context of oblique convergence, C. R. Geosci., 341, 214–223, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crte.2008.12.002, 2009.
Carton, H., Singh, S. C., Hirn, A., Bazin, S., De Voogd, B., Vigner, A., Ricolleau, A., Cetin, S., Oçakoğlu, N., Karakoç, F., and Sevilgen, V.: Seismic imaging of the three-dimensional architecture of the Çınarcık basin along the North Anatolian fault, J. Geophys. Res.-Sol. Ea., 112, B06101, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006JB004548, 2007.
Christensen, N. I. and Mooney, W. D.: Seismic velocity structure and composition of the continental crust: A global view, J. Geophys. Res.-Sol. Ea., 100, 9761–9788, https://doi.org/10.1029/95JB00259, 1995.
Elmas, A.: Late Cenozoic tectonics and stratigraphy of northwestern Anatolia: the effects of the North Anatolian Fault to the region, Int. J. Earth Sci., 92, 380–396, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00531-003-0322-2, 2003.
Elmas, A. and Yiğitbaş, E.: Ophiolite emplacement by strike-slip tectonics between the Pontide Zone and the Sakarya Zone in northwestern Anatolia, Turkey, Int. J. Earth Sci., 90, 257–269, https://doi.org/10.1007/s005310000129, 2001.
Ergintav, S., Reilinger, R. E., Çakmak, R., Floyd, M., Cakir, Z., Doğan, U., King, R. W., McClusky, S., and Özener, H.: Istanbul's earthquake hot spots: Geodetic constraints on strain accumulation along faults in the Marmara seismic gap, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 5783–5788, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060985, 2014.
Ergün, M. and Özel, E.: Structural relationship between the Sea of Marmara basin and the North Anatolian Fault Zone, Terra Nova, 7, 278–288, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3121.1995.tb00695.x, 1995.
Faccenna, C., Bellier, O., Martinod, J., Piromallo, C., and Regard, V.: Slab detachment beneath eastern Anatolia: A possible cause for the formation of the North Anatolian fault, Earth Planet Sc. Lett., 242, 85–97, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2005.11.046, 2006.
Förste, C., Bruinsma, S., Abrikosov, O., Lemoine, J., Marty, J., Flechtner, F., Balmino, G., Barthelmes, F., and Biancale, R.: EIGEN-6C4 The latest combined global gravity field model including GOCE data up to degree and order 2190 of GFZ Potsdam and GRGS Toulouse, GFZ Data Services, https://doi.org/10.5880/icgem.2015.1, 2014.
Genç, Ş. C.: Evolution of the Bayramiç magmatic complex, northwestern Anatolia, J. Volcanol. Geoth. Res., 85, 233–249, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0377-0273(98)00057-2, 1998.
Hergert, T. and Heidbach, O.: Slip-rate variability and distributed deformation in the Marmara Sea fault system, Nat. Geosci., 3, 132, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo739, 2010.
Hergert, T. and Heidbach, O.: Geomechanical model of the Marmara Sea region–II, 3-D contemporary background stress field, Geophys. J. Int., 185, 1090–1102, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246X.2011.04992.x, 2011.
Hergert, T., Heidbach, O., Becel, A., and Laigle, M.: Geomechanical model of the Marmara Sea region–I. 3-D contemporary kinematics, Geophys. J. Int., 185, 1073–1089, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246X.2011.04991.x, 2011.
Hirn, A. and Singh, S.: SEISMARMARA cruise, RV Le Nadir, https://doi.org/10.17600/1080050, 2001.
Ince, E. S., Barthelmes, F., Reißland, S., Elger, K., Förste, C., Flechtner, F., and Schuh, H.: ICGEM – 15 years of successful collection and distribution of global gravitational models, associated services and future plans, Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2019-17, in review, 2019.
Janssen, C., Bohnhoff, M., Vapnik, Y., Görgün, E., Bulut, F., Plessen, B., Pohl, D., Aktar, M., Okay, A. I., and Dresen, G.: Tectonic evolution of the Ganos segment of the North Anatolian Fault (NW Turkey), J. Struct. Geol., 31, 11–28, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsg.2008.09.010, 2009.
Jolivet, L., Beyssac, O., Goff, B., Avigad, D., and Lepvrier, C.: Oligo-Miocene midcrustal subhorizontal shear zone in indochina, Tectonics, 20, 46–57, https://doi.org/10.1029/2000TC900021, 2001.
Jolivet, L., Faccenna, C., Huet, B., Labrousse, L., Le Pourhiet, L., Lacombe, O., Lecomte, E., Burov, E., Denèle, Y., Brun, J. P., and Philippon, M.: Aegean tectonics: Strain localisation, slab tearing and trench retreat, Tectonophysics, 597, 1–33, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2012.06.011, 2013.
Karacık, Z., Yılmaz, Y., Pearce, J. A., and Ece, Ö. I.: Petrochemistry of the south Marmara granitoids, northwest Anatolia, Turkey, Int. J. Earth Sci., 97, 1181–1200, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00531-007-0222-y, 2008.
Kende, J., Henry, P., Bayrakci, G., Özeren, M. S., and Grall, C.: Moho depth and crustal thinning in the Marmara Sea region from gravity data inversion, J. Geophys. Res.-Sol. Ea., 122, 1381–1401, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JB012735, 2017.
Kurtuluş, C. and Canbay, M. M.: Tracing the middle strand of the North Anatolian Fault Zone through the southern Sea of Marmara based on seismic reflection studies, Geo-Mar. Lett., 27, 27–40, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00367-006-0050-2, 2007.
Labrousse, L., Jolivet, L., Andersen, T. B., Agard, P., Hebert, R., Maluski, H., and Schärer, U.: Pressure–temperature–time deformation history of the exhumation of ultra-high pressure rocks in the Western Gneiss Region, Norway, in: Gneiss Domes in Orogeny, edited by: Whitney, D. L., Teyssier, C., Siddoway, C. S., Spec. Pap. Geol. Soc. Am., 380, 155–182, https://doi.org/10.1130/0-8137-2380-9.155, 2004.
Laigle, M., Bécel, A., de Voogd, B., Hirn, A., Taymaz, T., and Ozalaybey, S.: A first deep seismic survey in the Sea of Marmara: Deep basins and whole crust architecture and evolution, Earth Planet Sc. Lett., 270, 168–179, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2008.02.031, 2008.
Leloup, P. H., Lacassin, R., Tapponnier, P., Schärer, U., Zhong, D., Liu, X., Zhang, L., Ji, S., and Trinh, P. T.: The Ailao Shan-Red River shear zone (Yunnan, China), Tertiary transform boundary of Indochina, Tectonophysics, 251, 3–84, https://doi.org/10.1016/0040-1951(95)00070-4, 1995.
Le Pichon, X., Şengör, A. C., Demirbağ, E., Rangin, C., Imren, C., Armijo, R., Görür, N., Çağatay, N., De Lepinay, B. M., Meyer, B., and Saatçılar, R.: The active main Marmara fault, Earth Planet. Sc. Lett., 192, 595–616, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0012-821X(01)00449-6, 2001.
Le Pichon, X., Chamot-Rooke, N., Rangin, C., and Şengör, A. C.: The North Anatolian fault in the sea of marmara, J. Geophys. Res.-Sol. Ea., 108, 2179, https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JB001862, 2003.
Le Pichon, X., Imren, C., Rangin, C., Şengör, A. C., and Siyako, M.: The South Marmara Fault, Int. J. Earth Sci., 103, 219–231, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00531-013-0950-0, 2014.
Le Pichon, X., Şengör, A.C., Kende, J., İmren, C., Henry, P., Grall, C. and Karabulut, H.: Propagation of a strike-slip plate boundary within an extensional environment: the westward propagation of the North Anatolian Fault, Can. J. Earth Sci., 53, 1416–1439, https://doi.org/10.1139/cjes-2015-0129, 2015.
Le Pourhiet, L., Huet, B., May, D. A., Labrousse, L., and Jolivet, L.: Kinematic interpretation of the 3D shapes of metamorphic core complexes, Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst., 13, Q09002, https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GC004271, 2012.
Le Pourhiet, L., Huet, B., and Traore, N.: Links between long-term and short-term rheology of the lithosphere: Insights from strike-slip fault modelling, Tectonophysics, 631, 146–159, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2014.06.034, 2014.
Ludwig, W. J., Nafe, J. E., and Drake C. L.: Seismic refraction, in: The Sea, edited by: Maxwell, A. E., Vol. 4, Wiley-Interscience, New York, 53–84, 1970.
Maystrenko, Y. P. and Scheck-Wenderoth, M.: 3-D lithosphere-scale density model of the Central European Basin System and adjacent areas, Tectonophysics, 601, 53–77, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2013.04.023, 2013.
Maystrenko, Y. P., Scheck-Wenderoth, M., Hartwig, A., Anka, Z., Watts, A. B., Hirsch, K. K., and Fishwick, S.: Structural features of the Southwest African continental margin according to results of lithosphere-scale 3-D gravity and thermal modelling, Tectonophysics, 604, 104–121, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2013.04.014, 2013.
McKenzie, D.: Active tectonics of the Mediterranean region, Geophys. J. Roy. Astron. Soc., 30, 109–185, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246X.1972.tb02351.x, 1972.
MediMap Group: Morpho-bathymetry of the Mediterranean Sea, special publication, Atlases and Maps, two maps at 1∕2000000, CIESM/Ifremer, Issy-les-Moulineaux, France, 2005.
Murru, M., Akinci, A., Falcone, G., Pucci, S., Console, R., and Parsons, T.: M≥7 earthquake rupture forecast and time-dependent probability for the Sea of Marmara region, Turkey, J. Geophys. Res.-Sol. Ea., 121, 2679–2707, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JB012595, 2016.
Okay, A. I. and Tüysüz, O.: Tethyan sutures of northern Turkey, Geol. Soc. Lon. Spec. Pub., 156, 475–515, https://doi.org/10.1144/GSL.SP.1999.156.01.22, 1999.
Parke, J. R., White, R. S., McKenzie, D., Minshull, T. A., Bull, J. M., Kuşçu, İ., Görür, N., and Şengör, C.: Interaction between faulting and sedimentation in the Sea of Marmara, western Turkey, J. Geophys. Res.-Sol. Ea., 107, EPM-2, https://doi.org/10.1029/2001JB000450, 2002.
Parsons, T.: Recalculated probability of M≥7 earthquakes beneath the Sea of Marmara, Turkey, J. Geophys. Res.-Sol. Ea., 109, B05304, https://doi.org/10.1029/2003JB002667, 2004.
Pavlis, N. K., Holmes, S. A., Kenyon, S. C., and Factor, J. K.: The development and evaluation of the earth gravitational model 2008 (EGM2008), J. Geophys. Res.-Sol. Ea., 117, B04406, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JB008916, 2012.
Pucci, S., Palyvos, N., Zabci, C., Pantosti, D., and Barchi, M.: Coseismic ruptures and tectonic landforms along the Düzce segment of the North Anatolian Fault Zone (Ms 7.1, November 1999), J. Geophys. Res.-Sol. Ea., 111, B06312, https://doi.org/10.1029/2004JB003578, 2006.
Reilinger, R. E., McClusky, S. C., Oral, M. B., King, R. W., Toksoz, M. N., Barka, A. A., Kinik, I., Lenk, O., and Sanli, I.: Global Positioning System measurements of present-day crustal movements in the Arabia-Africa-Eurasia plate collision zone, J. Geophys. Res.-Sol. Ea., 102, 9983–9999, https://doi.org/10.1029/96JB03736, 1997.
Reilinger, R., McClusky, S., Vernant, P., Lawrence, S., Ergintav, S., Cakmak, R., Ozener, H., Kadirov, F., Guliuv, I., Stepanyan, R., Nadariya, M., Hahubia, G., Mahmoud, S., Sakr, K., ArRajehi, A., Paradissis, D., Al-Aydrus, A., Prilepin, M., Guseva, T., Evren, E., Dmitrotsa, A., Filikov, S.V., Gomez, F., Al-Ghazzi, R. and Karam, G.: GPS constraints on continental deformation in the Africa-Arabia-Eurasia continental collision zone and implications for the dynamics of plate interactions, J. Geophys. Res.-Sol. Ea., 111, B05411, https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JB004051, 2006.
Robertson, A. H. and Ustaömer, T.: Tectonic evolution of the Intra-Pontide suture zone in the Armutlu Peninsula, NW Turkey, Tectonophysics, 381, 175–209, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2002.06.002, 2004.
Sakic, P., Piete, H., Ballu, V., Royer, J. Y., Kopp, H., Lange, D., Petersen, F., Özeren, M. S., Ergintav, S., Geli, L., and Henry, P.: No significant steady state surface creep along the North Anatolian Fault offshore Istanbul: Results of 6 months of seafloor acoustic ranging, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 6817–6825, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069600, 2016.
Sandwell, D., Garcia, E., Soofi, K., Wessel, P., Chandler, M., and Smith, W. H.: Toward 1-mGal accuracy in global marine gravity from CryoSat-2, Envisat, and Jason-1, The Leading Edge, 32, 892–899, https://doi.org/10.1190/tle32080892.1, 2013.
Sandwell, D. T., Müller, R. D., Smith, W. H., Garcia, E., and Francis, R.: New global marine gravity model from CryoSat-2 and Jason-1 reveals buried tectonic structure, Science, 346, 65–67, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1258213, 2014.
Schmidt, S., Plonka, C., Götze, H. J., and Lahmeyer, B.: Hybrid modelling of gravity, gravity gradients and magnetic fields, Geophys. Prospect., 59, 1046–1051, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2478.2011.00999.x, 2011.
Schmittbuhl, J., Karabulut, H., Lengliné, O., and Bouchon, M.: Long-lasting seismic repeaters in the Central Basin of the Main Marmara Fault, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 9527–9534, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070505, 2016.
Şengör, A. C., Tüysüz, O., Imren, C., Sakınç, M., Eyidoğan, H., Görür, N., Le Pichon, X., and Rangin, C.: The North Anatolian fault: A new look, Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci., 33, 37–112, https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.earth.32.101802.120415, 2005.
Sippel, J., Scheck-Wenderoth, M., Lewerenz, B., and Kroeger, K. F.: A crust-scale 3-D structural model of the Beaufort-Mackenzie Basin (Arctic Canada), Tectonophysics, 591, 30–51, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2012.10.030, 2013.
Sobolev, S., Petrunin, A., Garfunkel, Z., and Babeyko, A. Y.: Thermo-mechanical model of the dead sea transform, Earth Planet. Sc. Lett., 238, 78–95, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2005.06.058, 2005.
Stein, R. S., Barka, A. A., and Dieterich, J. H.: Progressive failure on the North Anatolian fault since 1939 by earthquake stress triggering, Geophys. J. Int., 128, 594–604, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246X.1997.tb05321.x, 1997.
Turgut, S. and Eseller, G.: Sequence stratigraphy, tectonics and depositional history in eastern Thrace Basin, NW Turkey, Mar. Petrol. Geol., 17, 61–100, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0264-8172(99)00015-X, 2000.
Ünay, E., Emre, Ö., Erkal, T., and Keçer, M.: The rodent fauna from the Adapazarıpull-apart basin (NW Anatolia): its bearings on the age of the North Anatolian Fault, Geodinam. Acta., 14, 169–75, https://doi.org/10.1080/09853111.2001.11432442, 2001.
Ustaömer, P. A., Ustaömer, T., Collins, A. S., and Reischpeitsch, J.: Lutetian arc-type magmatism along the southern Eurasian margin: new U-Pb LA-ICPMS and whole-rock geochemical data from Marmara Island, NW Turkey, Mineral. Petrol., 96, 177–196, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00710-009-0051-8, 2009.
West, D. P. and Hubbard, M. S.: Progressive localization of deformation during exhumation of a major strike-slip shear zone: Norumbega fault zone, south-central Maine, USA, Tectonophysics 273, 185–201, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0040-1951(96)00306-X, 1997.
Yaltırak, C.: Tectonic evolution of the Marmara Sea and its surroundings, Mar. Geol., 190, 493–529, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0025-3227(02)00360-2, 2002.
Yaltırak, C. and Alpar, B.: Evolution of the middle strand of North Anatolian Fault and shallow seismic investigation of the southeastern Marmara Sea (Gemlik Bay), Mar. Geol., 190, 307–327, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0025-3227(02)00352-3, 2002.
Yamamoto, Y., Takahashi, N., Pinar, A., Kalafat, D., Citak, S., Comoglu, M., Polat, R., and Kaneda, Y.: Geometry and segmentation of the North Anatolian Fault beneath the Marmara Sea, Turkey, deduced from long-term ocean bottom seismographic observations, J. Geophys. Res.-Sol. Ea., 122, 2069–2084, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JB013608, 2017.
Yamamoto, R., Kido, M., Ohta, Y., Takahashi, N., Yamamoto, Y., Pinar, A., Kalafat, D., Özener, H., and Kaneda, Y.: Seafloor geodesy revealed partial creep of the North Anatolian Fault submerged in the Sea of Marmara, Geophys. Res. Lett., https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080984, 2019.
Yildirim, C. and Tüysüz, O.: Estimation of the long-term slip, surface uplift and block rotation along the northern strand of the North Anatolian Fault Zone: Inferences from geomorphology of the Almacık Block, Geomorphology, 297, 55–68, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2017.08.038, 2017.
Yildirim, C., Schildgen, T. F., Echtler, H., Melnick, D., and Strecker, M. R.: Late Neogene and active orogenic uplift in the Central Pontides associated with the North Anatolian Fault: Implications for the northern margin of the Central Anatolian Plateau, Turkey, Tectonics, 30, TC5005, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010TC002756, 2011.
Yildirim, C., Melnick, D., Ballato, P., Schildgen, T. F., Echtler, H., Erginal, A. E., Kıyak, N. G., and Strecker, M. R.: Differential uplift along the northern margin of the Central Anatolian Plateau: inferences from marine terraces, Quat. Sci. Rev., 81, 12–28, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.09.011, 2013.