Articles | Volume 10, issue 5 
            
                
                    
                    
            
            
            https://doi.org/10.5194/se-10-1663-2019
                    © Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under 
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
                the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/se-10-1663-2019
                    © Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under 
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
                the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Topological analysis in Monte Carlo simulation for uncertainty propagation
Evren Pakyuz-Charrier
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
                                            
                                    
                                            Centre for Exploration Targeting, The University of Western Australia, 35 Stirling Hwy, Crawley, WA 6009,
Australia
                                        
                                    
                                            Intrepid Geophysics, 3 Male Street, Brighton, VIC 3186,
Australia
                                        
                                    Mark Jessell
                                            Centre for Exploration Targeting, The University of Western Australia, 35 Stirling Hwy, Crawley, WA 6009,
Australia
                                        
                                    Jérémie Giraud
                                            Centre for Exploration Targeting, The University of Western Australia, 35 Stirling Hwy, Crawley, WA 6009,
Australia
                                        
                                    Mark Lindsay
                                            Centre for Exploration Targeting, The University of Western Australia, 35 Stirling Hwy, Crawley, WA 6009,
Australia
                                        
                                    Vitaliy Ogarko
                                            International Centre for Radio Astronomy Research, The
University of Western Australia, Ken and Julie Michael
Building, 7 Fairway, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia
                                        
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                                Total article views: 2,912 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
                                
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                            Cited
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 - Machine learning approach for water quality predictions based on multispectral satellite imageries V. Anand et al. 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102868
 - Uncertainty assessment of a 3D geological model by integrating data errors, spatial variations and cognition bias D. Liang et al. 10.1007/s12145-020-00548-4
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 - 3D geological modeling of deep fractured low porosity sandstone gas reservoir in the Kuqa Depression, Tarim Basin Z. Liu et al. 10.3389/feart.2023.1171050
 - Uncertainty assessment for 3D geologic modeling of fault zones based on geologic inputs and prior knowledge A. Krajnovich et al. 10.5194/se-11-1457-2020
 
21 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Introduction: Handling uncertainty in the geosciences: identification, mitigation and communication L. Pérez-Díaz et al. 10.5194/se-11-889-2020
 - 3D structural modeling for seismic exploration based on knowledge graphs X. Zhan et al. 10.1190/geo2020-0924.1
 - Constraining stochastic 3-D structural geological models with topology information using approximate Bayesian computation in GemPy 2.1 A. Schaaf et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-3899-2021
 - Estimating uncertainties in 3-D models of complex fold-and-thrust belts: A case study of the Eastern Alps triangle zone S. Brisson et al. 10.1016/j.acags.2023.100115
 - Case Volume Analysis of Neurological Surgery Training Programs in the United States: 2017-2019 B. Hopkins et al. 10.1093/neuopn/okaa017
 - Utilisation of probabilistic magnetotelluric modelling to constrain magnetic data inversion: proof-of-concept and field application J. Giraud et al. 10.5194/se-14-43-2023
 - Blockworlds 0.1.0: a demonstration of anti-aliased geophysics for probabilistic inversions of implicit and kinematic geological models R. Scalzo et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-3641-2022
 - Estimating relative uncertainty of geological 3D models with low density of input data in geologically complex regions F. Staněk et al. 10.1007/s12145-025-01778-0
 - Generalization of level-set inversion to an arbitrary number of geologic units in a regularized least-squares framework J. Giraud et al. 10.1190/geo2020-0263.1
 - Structural, petrophysical, and geological constraints in potential field inversion using the Tomofast-x v1.0 open-source code J. Giraud et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-6681-2021
 - Trustworthy Uncertainty Quantification Via Distributionally-Robust Dual Adaptive Conformal Prediction Y. Zong et al. 10.1115/1.4069683
 - Unraveling the uncertainty of geological interfaces through data-knowledge-driven trend surface analysis L. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.cageo.2023.105419
 - Into the Noddyverse: a massive data store of 3D geological models for machine learning and inversion applications M. Jessell et al. 10.5194/essd-14-381-2022
 - Assessing geometrical uncertainties in geological interface models using Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling via abstract graph J. Huang et al. 10.1016/j.tecto.2023.230032
 - A time-variant uncertainty propagation analysis method for multimodal probability distributions B. Xie et al. 10.1016/j.probengmech.2025.103840
 - Integration of automatic implicit geological modelling in deterministic geophysical inversion J. Giraud et al. 10.5194/se-15-63-2024
 - Quantifying and Analyzing the Uncertainty in Fault Interpretation Using Entropy Z. Lei 10.1007/s11004-024-10156-3
 - Machine learning approach for water quality predictions based on multispectral satellite imageries V. Anand et al. 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102868
 - Uncertainty assessment of a 3D geological model by integrating data errors, spatial variations and cognition bias D. Liang et al. 10.1007/s12145-020-00548-4
 - Computational modeling and analytical validation of singular geometric effects in fault data using a combinatorial approach M. Michalak et al. 10.5194/se-16-1025-2025
 - Towards plausible lithological classification from geophysical inversion: honouring geological principles in subsurface imaging J. Giraud et al. 10.5194/se-11-419-2020
 
2 citations as recorded by crossref.
- 3D geological modeling of deep fractured low porosity sandstone gas reservoir in the Kuqa Depression, Tarim Basin Z. Liu et al. 10.3389/feart.2023.1171050
 - Uncertainty assessment for 3D geologic modeling of fault zones based on geologic inputs and prior knowledge A. Krajnovich et al. 10.5194/se-11-1457-2020
 
Latest update: 03 Nov 2025
Short summary
            This paper improves the Monte Carlo simulation for uncertainty propagation (MCUP) method for 3-D geological modeling. Topological heterogeneity is observed in the model suite. The study demonstrates that such heterogeneity arises from piecewise nonlinearity inherent to 3-D geological models and contraindicates use of global uncertainty estimation methods. Topological-clustering-driven uncertainty estimation is proposed as a demonstrated alternative to address plausible model heterogeneity.
            This paper improves the Monte Carlo simulation for uncertainty propagation (MCUP) method for 3-D...