Articles | Volume 13, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/se-13-1371-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/se-13-1371-2022
Research article
 | 
31 Aug 2022
Research article |  | 31 Aug 2022

Numerical simulation of contemporary kinematics at the northeastern Tibetan Plateau and its implications for seismic hazard assessment

Liming Li, Xianrui Li, Fanyan Yang, Lili Pan, and Jingxiong Tian

Related subject area

Subject area: Tectonic plate interactions, magma genesis, and lithosphere deformation at all scales | Editorial team: Geodynamics and quantitative modelling | Discipline: Tectonics
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Cited articles

Achache, J., Courrillot, V., and Zhou, Y.: Paleogeographic and tectonic evolution of southern Tibet since Middle Cretaceous time: new paleomagnetic data and synthesis, J. Geophys. Res.-Sol. Ea., 89, 10311–10339, https://doi.org/10.1029/JB089iB12p10311, 1984. 
Ahlers, S., Henk, A., Hergert, T., Reiter, K., Müller, B., Röckel, L., Heidbach, O., Morawietz, S., Scheck-Wenderoth, M., and Anikiev, D.: 3D crustal stress state of Germany according to a data-calibrated geomechanical model, Solid Earth, 12, 1777–1799, https://doi.org/10.5194/se-12-1777-2021, 2021. 
Aki, K. and Richards, P. G.: Quantitative Seismology, second ed, University Science Books, California, USA, ISBN 978-1-891389-63-4, 2002. 
Armijo, R., Flerit, F., King, G., and Meyer, B.: Linear elastic fracture mechanics explains the past and present evolution of the Aegean, Earth Planet Sc. Lett., 217, 85–95, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0012-821X(03)00590-9, 2004. 
Bai, M., Chevalier, M., Pan, J., Replumaz, A., Leloup, P. H., Métois, M., and Li, H.: Southeastward increase of the late Quaternary slip-rate of the Xianshuihe fault, eastern Tibet. Geodynamic and seismic hazard implications, Earth Planet. Sc. Lett., 485, 19–31, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2017.12.045, 2018. 
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Short summary
We constructed a three-dimensional numerical geomechanics model to obtain the continuous slip rates of active faults and crustal velocities in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. Based on the analysis of the fault kinematics in the study area, we evaluated the possibility of earthquakes occurring in the main faults in the area, and analyzed the crustal deformation mechanism of the northeastern Tibetan Plateau.