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Articles | Volume 13, issue 1
Articles | Volume 13, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/se-13-15-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/se-13-15-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 13, issue 1
Research article
 | 
10 Jan 2022
Research article |  | 10 Jan 2022

De-risking the energy transition by quantifying the uncertainties in fault stability

David Healy and Stephen Paul Hicks

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Short summary
The energy transition requires operations in faulted rocks. To manage the technical challenges and public concern over possible induced earthquakes, we need to quantify the risks. We calculate the probability of fault slip based on uncertain inputs, stresses, fluid pressures, and the mechanical properties of rocks in fault zones. Our examples highlight the specific gaps in our knowledge. Citizen science projects could produce useful data and include the public in the discussions about hazards.
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