Articles | Volume 13, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/se-13-15-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/se-13-15-2022
Research article
 | 
10 Jan 2022
Research article |  | 10 Jan 2022

De-risking the energy transition by quantifying the uncertainties in fault stability

David Healy and Stephen Paul Hicks

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Latest update: 18 Jun 2024
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Short summary
The energy transition requires operations in faulted rocks. To manage the technical challenges and public concern over possible induced earthquakes, we need to quantify the risks. We calculate the probability of fault slip based on uncertain inputs, stresses, fluid pressures, and the mechanical properties of rocks in fault zones. Our examples highlight the specific gaps in our knowledge. Citizen science projects could produce useful data and include the public in the discussions about hazards.