Articles | Volume 16, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/se-16-1269-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/se-16-1269-2025
Research article
 | 
03 Nov 2025
Research article |  | 03 Nov 2025

A simplified relationship between the zero-percolation threshold and fracture set properties

Shaoqun Dong, Lianbo Zeng, Chaoshui Xu, Peter Dowd, Guohao Xiong, Tao Wang, and Wenya Lyu

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Short summary
Rock fracture connectivity is key for oil/gas, geothermal energy, and nuclear waste storage. This study predicts the zero-percolation threshold – when fractures connect – using simulations. A model links this threshold to fracture number, length, and orientation, enabling fast predictions. Tests on simulated and real fractures confirm its accuracy across sizes/orientations. Provides key tool for subsurface engineering.
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